Coffee prices today 21. 2: Sideways fluctuations

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Coffee price on February 22nd: The world market continues to be in a state of differentiation as Arabica strives to recover slightly while Robusta is under adjustment pressure.

Domestic coffee prices

The domestic coffee market on February 22 recorded stability on the last day of Tet holiday, when key growing areas all maintained the same price level as the previous session. Although international futures exchanges fluctuated, the price base in the Central Highlands still firmly anchored close to the 98,000 VND/kg mark, reflecting the internal strength of the Vietnamese market during the Tet holiday.

Detailed price levels in localities:

Dak Nong (old): Continuing to maintain the highest position in the region with a stable price of 97,900 VND/kg.

Dak Lak and Gia Lai: Maintain the uniform purchase price at 97,700 VND/kg.

Lam Dong: Maintains the price level of 96,400 VND/kg.

The important support force helping domestic prices resist the world's decline is the USD/VND exchange rate currently maintained at a high level of 25,750 VND/USD, directly supporting the export value of our country's coffee.

World coffee prices

The international market in the recent session witnessed mixed developments when the USD weakened slightly, triggering short-supplemented buying activities, helping Arabica maintain momentum while Robusta still suffered pressure.

London Stock Exchange (Robusta): May 2026 futures closed down 29 USD (equivalent to 0.80%), falling to 3,591 USD/ton. Pressure on this exchange comes from Vietnam's January export data increasing sharply by 38.3% and the recovery momentum of inventory on the ICE exchange from a historical low.

New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): Recorded slight green when the May 2026 term increased by 0.30 cents (equivalent to 0.11%), reaching 285.70 cents/lb. However, Arabica is still under pressure from Brazil's record 2026 crop forecast (66.2 million sacks) and favorable rainfall in Minas Gerais state reaching 113% of the historical average.

Market opinion

The market is in a state of stalemate between the prospect of abundant supply from South America in the long term and the short-term tightening from Colombia (January output decreased by 34%) and the slowdown in Brazil's exports (down 42.4% in January).

Next week, when Vietnamese agents officially reopen for trading after Tet, pressure to push exports may create certain fluctuations for domestic prices. However, with inventories in consuming countries still at low levels, coffee prices are forecast to hardly have deep drops but will accumulate around the current area to wait for new signals.

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