Domestic coffee prices
After yesterday's sharp decrease, the domestic coffee market this morning, February 12, had a slight upward adjustment in most key localities. This recovery, although not large, has helped coffee prices consolidate around the threshold of 95,500 VND/kg. According to records, the average purchase price throughout the Central Highlands region currently reaches 95,500 VND/kg, a slight increase of 100 VND/kg compared to the previous session.
Detailed price fluctuations in regions:
Dak Nong (old): Continuing to maintain the highest price in the country, increasing by another 100 VND to 95,600 VND/kg.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai: Both recorded an increase of 200 VND, currently purchasing at the same level of 95,500 VND/kg.
Lam Dong: The strongest increase in the region is 300 VND, bringing the price of raw coffee beans here to 94,300 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
The international market in the recent session recorded a recovery from the lowest levels in many months. Both London and New York exchanges closed in green thanks to investors' lack of buying replenishment when the Brazilian Real strongly rebounded to a 1.5-week high.
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): After falling to its 6-month low at the beginning of the session, Robusta prices successfully reversed the trend. March 2026 futures increased by 16 USD (equivalent to 0.43%), closing the session at 3.759 USD/ton. Robusta's upward momentum is still being restrained by Vietnam's explosive export growth, when January exports surged 38.3% compared to the same period.
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): Also recorded a slight recovery after hitting the bottom on Monday at the beginning of the week. March 2026 futures increased by 0.60 cents (equivalent to 0.20%), closing at 294.80 cents/lb. Despite the increase, the exchange is still under great pressure as Conab forecasts that Brazil's Arabica production in 2026 will increase by 23.2%, reaching 44.1 million bags. In addition, the abundant rainfall in Minas Gerais reaching 113% of the historical average continues to be a factor putting pressure on prices.
Market opinion
Although prices have recovered, the prospect of abundant supply is still a major barrier to the strong increase in coffee prices. The fact that both Brazil and Vietnam show positive supply prospects in the long term has made hedge funds maintain a cautious attitude. The bright spot supporting prices currently comes from Brazil's January exports falling 42.4% and Colombia's output falling sharply by 34%, creating a local supply tightening.
The recovery of inventories on the ICE exchange (Arabica at its highest level in more than 3 months and Robusta recovering significantly from the bottom) will be a factor hindering strong breakthroughs.
