Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning, April 25, recorded a stable state at a high level after international prices had a downward adjustment in the closing session early this morning. According to records from key growing areas of the Central Highlands, the average purchase price throughout the region is currently fluctuating around the threshold of 89,400 VND/kg.
In Dak Nong (old) locality, coffee prices still maintained at the highest level in the region at 89,500 VND/kg.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai provinces both stood at 89,300 VND/kg, while in Lam Dong the price reached 88,700 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
On international exchanges, red color returned to cover both London and New York exchanges in the last trading session of the week. Arabica futures for July fell 5.45 cents, equivalent to 1.81%, to 294.90 cents/lb.
Following the same trend, Robusta prices also slightly decreased by 9 USD to 3,498 USD/ton. This decline is mainly due to pressure from forecasts of a super-bumper crop in Brazil in the 2026/27 crop year with expected output reaching a record 75.9 million bags. In addition, the global coffee surplus in 2026, which is forecast to expand to 10 million bags, is the biggest barrier hindering the breakthrough momentum of global coffee prices.
Coffee price assessment
Despite pressure from long-term supply, the market still received significant support from geopolitical and weather factors.
Concerns about the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to tensions in the Middle East are pushing up transportation, insurance and fuel costs, causing difficulties for goods circulation.
In addition, the serious shortage of rainfall in the Minas Gerais region of Brazil, which only reached 20% of the historical average, is directly threatening actual productivity. In Vietnam, the strong export growth in the first quarter of 14% has contributed to easing concerns about shortages, but inventories on the ICE exchange are still at a record low of 16 months, which is a solid support for Robusta prices.
Forecast in the first sessions of next week, coffee prices will continue to be in a state of accumulation and strong fluctuations around 88,000 - 9,000 VND/kg. Forecasts of a record surplus crop year in the future may make the upward momentum of coffee prices face many difficulties if there is no new supporting information from the supply side.
The actual prices in localities may differ depending on the quality of the seeds and actual transaction agreements.
