According to forecasts, the El Nino state will continue to strengthen, maintaining at an average to strong level. The West hot low pressure continues to operate in southeastern China and northern Vietnam. In the first and mid-month weeks, a tropical convergence zone is likely to form in the central and northern areas of the East Sea.
Above, the subtropical high pressure is weak and tends to descend to the South. The Southern region is mainly affected by the southern edge of the hot low pressure from the West combined with the tropical convergence zone, in conditions of Southwest monsoon activity with intensity from moderate to strong.
Total rainfall in July is forecast to be generally at or below the multi-year average (TBNN), but there is still a possibility of 2-4 heavy rains in the area. The average monthly temperature is higher than the TBNN and some places may experience localized heatstroke. In the East Sea, there is also a possibility of 1-2 tropical cyclones.
The average temperature in July is generally about 1-1.5 degrees Celsius higher than the TBNN. The highest temperature fluctuates from 31-34 degrees Celsius, in some places up to 35 degrees Celsius. The lowest temperature is commonly from 24-27 degrees Celsius, especially in the Lam Dong area at 19-22 degrees Celsius.
Total rainfall in the month is generally at or below the TBNN. Rain mainly concentrates in the first week and mid-month week, then slightly decreases in the last week. The whole area is expected to have about 15-25 days of rain.
In July, hot weather may still appear locally in some places. In addition, it is necessary to be wary of heavy rains causing localized flooding, accompanied by thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail and strong gusts of wind, which may affect people's safety, causing property and infrastructure damage.
In addition, strong southwest monsoons can make the weather at sea worse, causing danger to ships and boats, especially in the eastern sea areas.
