Tariff risk affects the stock market

Gia Miêu |

Securities investors are psychologically cautious due to the news of imposing taxes on imported goods from the administration of President Donald Trump.

After four consecutive growth sessions, the VN-Index appeared strongly with the selling pressure that took place in most industry groups. The appearance of a large volume distribution session with a long red body pattern decreases at the end of the session, completely eliminating the number of points achieved by previous sessions, which can warn the formation of the short -term peak area. .

This movement partly shows that the unstable short -term fluctuations, when the overall, the index has not escaped the mainstream trend.

The adjustment phase took place in the context of macroeconomic macro when President Donald Trump said he would publish a 25% tariff for steel and aluminum imported from every country, and this week will also be this week. Notice of reciprocal tariffs on countries tax imported from the United States.

Accordingly, experts believe that the domestic stock market will be able to adjust and continue shaking in the next time until the actions related to tariffs gradually cool down.

However, with the appearance of a good signal that is high liquidity, many investors are buying goods in vibrations when VN-Index has increased in the 3rd week in a row, approaching the regions. resistance as 1,275 - 1,280 points. Besides, some stocks also increased very hot, such as stocks with their own stories.

Mr. Tran Hoang Son, Director of Market Strategy, VPBank Securities Joint Stock Company (VPBANKS) said that after the shaking session on the morning of 10.2, with very good demand force at the present time and psychology was stable, yes The market will soon overcome these fluctuations and regain the trend of increasing in the next sessions. Currently, the information on taxpayers is only the first step and impact on the Vietnamese steel industry is not too big.

According to Mr. Son, the shaking market script will revolve around the threshold of 1,275 points and accumulated around this area before going up with a probability of up to 70%. The market has a very hard support threshold, in 1,250 - 1,260 points. After this vibration, the possibility of VN-Index can still test higher resistance areas, such as 1,280 or 1,300 points.

Regarding the short-term trend, according to SHS securities experts, the VN-Index still maintains increasing on the support area around 1,260 points, corresponding to an average of 200 sessions and is under quite adjustment pressure. strong. While the VN30 is under the adjustment pressure to the area around 1,315 points, equivalent to an average of 20 sessions.

Experts also forecast that, in the first half of the year, the VN-Index may still touch, or pass 1,300 points in a short time but then easily adjust back because the market is easily affected in terms of pine. News, tax policies or exchange rates.

But by the end of the year, since August-September, the possibility of VN-Index exceeded 1,300 points, to the new highland was very bright. The strategy in the first 6 months is still trading in the border. Highly touched stocks should take profit and buy back in the adjustment area.

Gia Miêu
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