Up to now, storm No. 1 is assessed to have a relatively stable trajectory and intensity and is close to previous forecasts. Scientists say that there are no signs of a factor causing the storm to suddenly strengthen. However, although the first storm of the season did not make landfall directly in Vietnam, the storm caused a large amount of widespread heavy rain.
Information on the forecast of the next developments and impacts of the storm was provided by Mr. Phung Tien Dung, Head of the Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting Department - National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, Department of Hydro-Meteorology this afternoon.
Sir, could you tell us about the next developments of storm No. 1 and when the storm will strengthen?
- Updated to 4:00 p.m. this afternoon, June 12, the center of storm No. 1 was at about 17.3 degrees north latitude; 109.9 degrees east longitude, about 150km south of Hainan Island (China). The strongest wind near the storm center is level 9, gusting to level 11.
It is forecasted that in the next 24 hours, the storm will move northwest at a speed of about 10km/h and tend to strengthen.
In the next 2-3 days, storm No. 1 will move north and make landfall in Guangdong province (China), then weaken and gradually dissipate.
What are the next impacts to note of storm No. 1, sir?
- The storm will continue to cause strong winds in the northwest of the East Sea (including the sea area of Hoang Sa archipelago), the sea area offshore from Quang Tri to Quang Ngai. Strong winds of level 6 - 8, near the storm center level 9-10, gusting to level 13, waves 3 - 5m high, near the storm center 4 - 6m, very rough seas.
From the night of June 12, the sea area of the Gulf of Tonkin will have winds gradually increasing to level 6 - 7, the area near the storm center will have level 8 - 9, gusts of level 11, waves 2 - 4m high, the sea will be very rough.
On land, the storm will continue to cause heavy to very heavy rain in the Central Central region from June 12 to June 13. Area from Ha Tinh to Hue, common rainfall is 100 - 180mm, some places over 350mm.
In the evening and night of June 12, the South of Nghe An and Da Nang to Quang Ngai will have moderate rain, heavy rain, locally very heavy rain and thunderstorms with common rainfall of 40 - 90mm, some places over 150mm.
The Northern Central Highlands and Binh Dinh regions will have moderate rain, locally heavy rain with common rainfall of 15 - 30mm, some places over 50mm.
With such a heavy rain, what is the warning about the risk of causing dangerous natural disasters, sir?
- Regarding the flood situation, due to heavy rain in the past 2 days, the flood on the Bo River and the Huong River in Hue is currently at alert level 1, the Vu Gia River in Quang Nam is at alert level 2. Small rivers in Kon Tum are above alert level 2. Other rivers in Quang Binh to Quang Ngai are below alert level 1.
In the next 12 - 24 hours, floods on small rivers in Kon Tum and Bo rivers will fluctuate at alert level 1 - alert level 2, Vu Gia river will fluctuate at alert level 2. Other rivers in Quang Binh to Quang Ngai will fluctuate at alert level 1 and above alert level 1.
Due to heavy rain, there is a high risk of flooding in low-lying areas along rivers in provinces from Quang Binh to Quang Ngai, Kon Tum.
Risk of flash floods and landslides on steep slopes in provinces from Ha Tinh to Quang Ngai, the Central Highlands region, especially provinces from Quang Tri to Quang Nam and Kon Tum.
Sincerely thank you!
