According to Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam - Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, while storm No. 9 Ragasa had not yet dissipated, on the night of September 23, the eastern Philippines formed a new storm and was given the international name Bualoi.
At 7:00 a.m. on September 24, the center of storm Bualoi was at about 9.8 degrees north latitude - 132.4 degrees east longitude. The strongest wind near the center is level 9 (75-88 km/h), gusting to level 11. The storm is moving west-northwest at a speed of about 15 km/h.
"This is the 20th storm in the Northwest Pacific. It is expected that in about two more days, the storm will enter the East Sea and will likely become the 10th storm of 2025" - Mr. Lam said.
According to the Deputy Director of the Meteorological Agency, at present, the forecasts of models as well as international centers are quite dispersed, not only in terms of trajectory but also in terms of intensity.
"Current forecasts are very different. When storms are stronger and have better cloud organization, more stability, and more complete storm structure, these forecasts will have higher reliability" - Mr. Lam said.
Because the storm's path is still very complicated, the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting will continue to monitor and update the storm's developments in the coming time.
Bualoi follows Super Typhoon Ragasa and is at risk of becoming Typhoon No. 10. Therefore, there are many concerns about strong storms following each other. Comparing the intensity of Bualoi and Ragasa, according to Mr. Hoang Phuc Lam, current forecasts show that the maximum intensity of Bualoi may not be as Ragasa.
"However, it is not possible to compare the impact on the mainland of Vietnam of these two storms. Currently, because storm Bualoi is still far away, it is not excluded that the impact of storm Bualoi is equivalent to or even greater than storm No. 9 Ragasa" - Mr. Lam analyzed.
Previously, this morning (September 24), the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting forecasted the development of storm Bualoi in the next 24 to 72 hours.
At 7:00 a.m. on September 25, the center of storm Bualoi was at about 11.3 degrees north latitude - 129.7 degrees east longitude. The strongest intensity near the storm center is level 9 - 10, gusting to level 12.
At 7:00 a.m. on September 26, the center of storm Bualoi was at about 13.1 degrees north latitude - 124.8 degrees east longitude. The strongest intensity near the storm center is level 10, gusting to level 12.
At 7:00 a.m. on September 27, the center of storm Bualoi was at about 14.3 degrees north latitude - 118.6 degrees east longitude. The strongest intensity near the storm center is level 11, gusting to level 14.
The dangerous area is north of latitude 12 degrees north - 17 degrees north, east of longitude 117.0 degrees east. The natural disaster risk level is level 3 for the eastern sea area of the northern and central East Sea.
Warning in the next 72 - 120 hours, the storm will continue to move rapidly in the west-northwest direction, at a speed of 20-25 km/h, and is likely to strengthen.
Regarding the impact of the storm at sea, from the evening and night of September 26, the northeastern and central East Sea will have winds gradually increasing to level 6 - 7, then increasing to level 8 - 9. The area near the storm center is level 10 - 11, gusting to level 14, waves are 5-7 m high, the sea is very rough.
The meteorological agency warns of danger to ships operating in the northern and central East Sea.
