The latest storm and low pressure news on the morning of July 13 from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that low pressure 07a is 1,480km east of northeastern Mindanao, Philippines.
According to the bulletin, the low pressure area is still outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). It is noteworthy that the low pressure area has been identified as likely to strengthen into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours. Despite its development potential, this low pressure area has not yet affected the weather in the Philippines on July 13.
Meanwhile, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) has classified this system as a tropical depression. The forecast model also shows that this system will increase in intensity slowly in the next 3 days.
Regarding the direction of movement, the latest low pressure near the Philippines is expected to move westward in the next 24 hours before the high pressure near Japan will shift more northward in the next 3 days. After that, this low pressure is forecast to change direction to the northeast, towards the Pacific Ocean. Currently, the possibility of this system entering PAR is very low. If it enters PAR, it will only remain in this area for a short time.
The latest low pressure bulletin from the US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) called this low pressure 97W. JTWC said that this low pressure is located near Yap, Micronesia, with maximum sustained winds of about 35-45 km/h.
Analysis shows favorable weather conditions, including warm seawater temperatures (29-30 degrees C), for the development of low pressure 97W. However, JTWC storm forecasters believe that 97W is unlikely to strengthen into a tropical storm in the next 24 hours.
