The latest storm information from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration said that at 4:00 a.m. on September 29, the center of the storm was at about 18.6 degrees north latitude, 124.5 degrees east longitude, 305 km east of Aparri, Cagayan (Philippines).
Maximum winds near the center of the storm are 95 km/h, gusting up to 115 km/h, central pressure 990 hPa. The storm is moving northwest at a speed of 10 km/h. The range of strong winds extends up to 450 km from the center of the storm.
PAGASA warned of strong winds of level 8-9 (62-88 km/h) in Luzon, the northeastern part of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana) and the eastern part of Babuyan Islands in the next 24 hours, posing a minor to moderate threat to life and property.
The wind flow towards the circulation of severe tropical storm Julian may also bring strong gusts to typhoon level over coastal areas and highlands exposed to the wind.
In the next 24 hours, rough seas with waves up to 8 meters high on the Batanes coast; 6 meters on the Babuyan Islands coast; 4 meters on the northern coast of mainland Cagayan and the northern coast of Ilocos Norte; 3.5 meters above and above the rest of the Cagayan coast and the Isabela coast; 3 meters on the coast of the northern part of Aurora.
Regarding the storm's path and intensity, Julian is expected to move mainly northwest to west-northwest from today until Tuesday morning (October 1) towards the Batanes-Babuyan Islands, before accelerating north to east-northeast across the waters east of Taiwan (China).
According to the forecast track, the storm is likely to make landfall or approach the Batanes and/or Babuyan Islands tomorrow (September 30).
Julian will continue to strengthen throughout the forecast period and reach typhoon level tonight or early tomorrow morning. There is a high possibility of the storm rapidly intensifying and the possibility of reaching super typhoon level cannot be ruled out. The storm will be closest to the Batanes and/or Babuyan Islands at or near its peak intensity.
Julian is the 10th tropical storm to hit the Philippines in 2024 and the sixth tropical storm in September alone.
PAGASA also continues to monitor Tropical Storm Jebi, which is currently outside the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR). At 3:00 a.m. on September 29, the center of Typhoon Jebi was at about 21.9 degrees north latitude, 114.9 degrees east longitude, 2,075 km east of the northernmost tip of Luzon.
Maximum winds near the center of the storm reached 65 km/h, gusting to 80 km/h. The storm is moving northwest at 25 km/h.
PAGASA previously said Jebi is not expected to enter PAR. The storm is likely to strengthen into a typhoon and threaten Taiwan (China) next week.
Jebi is the 17th tropical storm of the 2024 typhoon season in the Western Pacific and the 7th typhoon of September - the month with the highest number of storms.
