Warning of the possibility of a super earthquake returning earlier than expected

Lam Anh |

Japanese scientists have just warned of a strange geological phenomenon that is causing super earthquakes to return to attack much earlier than the safety cycle of hundreds of years.

The research team led by Professor Yagi Yuji from Tsukuba University has just announced the results of the cryptography of the 8.8-magnitude richter earthquake that occurred near Kamchatka Peninsula (Russia) in July 2025.

This event immediately shocked the global geological community because it occurred just 73 years after the groundbreaking disaster of 1952 at the same location. This goes against previous forecast models, which require more than 100 years for the Earth's crust to store enough energy for such a large-scale shakeup.

To find the answer, scientists analyzed seismic wave data and discovered an interesting toanistic paradox.

The Kamchatka region is where the Pacific plate sinks below the Okhotsk plate at a rate of about 8cm per year. According to calculations, during 73 years of "rest", the accumulated energy was only enough to create a slide of about 6m at the boundary of the two areas. However, actual data from the 2025 earthquake shows a slide of up to 12m.

Explaining this huge amount of energy that causes double slides, Professor Yagi Yuji pointed out the culprit as the phenomenon of "sliping too much". This is a rare mechanism when the slide breaks too strongly, releasing not only new energy accumulated over the past 73 years but also the remaining energy from the 1952 disaster. A similar phenomenon is also believed to have occurred in the double disaster in Tohoku, Japan in 2011.

This discovery is a serious warning for disaster prevention. It proves that a recent earthquake does not mean that the area will be "safe" for the next century.

The "slip-off" mechanism can be completely repeated at other geological faulty areas such as Nankai ditches, Chishima ditches or Sagami ditches. The study emphasizes that people need to eliminate subjective psychology and always be ready to respond, because nature can break the rules at any time.

Lam Anh
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