The weather forecast bulletin at 4:00 a.m. on August 18 of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that the low pressure last detected in the north of the country has left the Philippine Area of Surveillance (PAR).
PAGASA noted that the low pressure left PAR at around 2:00 p.m. on August 17 and did not affect the Philippines.
However, the weak southwest monsoon will bring scattered rains to Batanes and Babuyan islands, while overall good weather is forecast for the rest of Luzon.
The rest of the Philippines may see scattered thunderstorms.
Temperature in Metro Manila will range from 26 to 33 degrees Celsius.
In early August, Philippine typhoon forecasters said that two to three tropical storms are expected to form or enter the Philippine forecast area in August.
PAGASA also forecasts that there is a possibility of 13 to 16 typhoons entering the Philippine forecast area between now and the end of the year.
PAGASA's typhoon forecast says the Philippines is likely to see more typhoons in the 2024 typhoon season than last year due to the possibility of a return of La Nina.
Meanwhile, according to the Vietnam National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the ENSO phenomenon is still in a neutral phase and will continue to be maintained until the end of August. ENSO may switch to La Nina state from September to November 2024 with a probability of 60 - 70%.
The forecast for the number of storms and tropical depressions from now until the end of 2024 is about 9 - 11 storms/tropical depressions, of which about 4 - 6 storms/tropical depressions can affect the mainland of Vietnam. The number of tropical cyclones this year is equivalent to the average of many years.
