USA Today's latest hurricane report says the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season has entered the fifth month of October 1 and forecasters are reassessing a hurricane season that causes catastrophic and unpredictable damage.
In the early forecast for the 2024 storm season, experts said this was an extremely intense press season. In fact, since the beginning of July, superstorm Beryl has made landfall in the US mainland with record strength. Most recently, Category 4 Hurricane Helene swept across the southeastern United States last week, ending hopes for a quiet hurricane season.
The hurricane season is still quite long, with "October being a month of active storms, especially in the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico and off the southeastern coast of the United States," said Brian McNoldy, a hurricane research expert at Rosenstiel School, University of Miami, USA.
"I don't think Helene really affects the forecast for the rest of the season. But now widespread conditions are favorable for the formation of storms and depressions in the eastern Atlantic, and we are seeing storms taking advantage of these conditions," said Florida State University hurricane forecaster Phil Klotzbach.
We have just released the latest two-week forecast and predict a very busy two weeks, due to Kirk, low pressure Invest 91L (born after Kirk) and a potential system in the northwest Caribbean/ Gulf of Mexico, added hurricane forecaster Phil Klotzbach.
Hurricane forecaster Michael Lowry at WPLG Local 10 forecasting agency in Miami, USA, said that "there is expected to be a return of major hurricanes in the first week of October," he stated in his daily update on October 1.
Brian McNoldy also pointed out that the names of typhoons that have caused catastrophic damage have been removed from the list of typhoon names since 2013.
However, it is worth noting that the number of disastrous storm names removed in October and November combined is higher than in June, July and August combined. "Therefore, we must be absolutely vigilant against tropical storm threats for the remainder of the season," McNoldy said.
In the latest October hurricane forecast, Michael Lowry said Hurricane Kirk formed right after Hurricane Helene headed north and across the Atlantic, but the high waves from the impact of the latest storm could reach the US east coast early to mid-next week.
Shortly after Kirk, low pressure Invest 91L off the coast of Africa is expected to strengthen into a typhoon over the next day or two.
Everywhere in the tropical Atlantic is still experiencing record highs or near records, says McNoldy, a hurricane expert. Therefore, there is no shortage of fuel for storms or tropical depressions to form anywhere."
