The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) forecasts four to seven typhoons to form within or enter the Philippine forecast area (PAR) in the fourth quarter of 2024.
Two or three storms are forecast in October and one or two in November and December, according to the Philippine weather bureau.
Tropical storms tend to make landfall and pass through the Philippines around this time, said Ana Solis, head of the Climate Forecasting and Monitoring Division.
Most of the typhoons in October make landfall in Luzon while those in November and December mainly hit Bicol, Eastern Visayas and Eastern Mindanao.
Ana Solis added that while there is a chance of a weak La Nina in the last three months of 2024, severe storms are also possible.
The next storm names on PAGASA's list for the 2024 typhoon season include: Kristine, Leon, Marce, Nika, Ofel, Pepito and Querubin.
The latest storm, Typhoon Julian (international name Krathon), is the 10th tropical storm to hit the Philippines in the 2024 typhoon season and the sixth tropical storm in September.
Early on the morning of October 1, storm Krathon strengthened into a super typhoon, entering the North East Sea area, becoming the 5th storm in the East Sea in 2024.
It is rare for the Philippines to have six storms in September, which has only happened twice in the past - in 1978 and 1993.
Climatologists attribute this increase in tropical cyclone activity to a lack of storms in previous months and warm ocean temperatures.
There were only a few typhoons until August. Several depressions also formed near land and quickly developed into typhoons. This was due to warmer than normal sea surface temperatures in the Philippine Sea.
The first nine tropical storms of 2024 have caused 101 deaths, 64 injuries and 34 missing, according to a report by the Philippines' National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council.
Total infrastructure damage amounted to $135 million, while the agricultural sector suffered about $71 million in damage.
In 2023, the Philippines had only 11 storms - equaling the record for the fewest storms in a year with 1998 and 2010. This is considered the impact of the strong El Nino phenomenon that has affected many parts of the world.
