World forecast to enter a new record-breaking series of hot years

Thanh Hà |

The world has an 80% chance of recording the next five record-breaking sunny days before 2030.

Global temperatures are expected to continue to remain at or near record highs for the next 5 years, Bloomberg reported, citing information from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

The World Meteorological Organization report emphasized that human-caused climate change will continue to heat up the Earth, with forecasts of new record highs set in the next 5 years.

The average global temperature will be 1.2 to 1.9 degrees Celsius higher than the average in the pre-industrial period.

The warming of the Earth increases extreme weather phenomena, seriously affecting society and the economy.

There will be more and more negative impacts on our economy, daily life, ecosystems and the planet. Unfortunately, this WMO report shows no signs of abating in the coming years," warned WMO Deputy Secretary General Ko Barrett.

A decade ago, world leaders pledged to cut greenhouse gas emissions to help limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to the long-term pre-industrial period when signing the Paris Agreement.

However, last year, the global average temperature exceeded the 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold for the first time as the average for the whole year, a clear sign that countries are unable to control the warming momentum.

The likelihood of average temperatures in the next 5 years exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius has increased rapidly, from 32% in the 2023 report to 70% in this year's report.

The WMO also said there is an 80% chance that at least one of the next five years will be hotter than 2024, a record-breaking hot year in history.

Each small increase in global temperatures will result in more severe, frequent and dangerous heat waves, along with heavy rains and extreme droughts.

Large ice covers, sea ice and ice will melt faster. The ocean will continue to heat up, and sea levels will continue to rise.

According to the WMO's forecast, the Arctic will heat up 3.5 times faster than the global average in the next 5 winters, from November to March, with an increase of 2.4 degrees Celsius compared to the average of the 1991-2020 period.

Rainfall will fluctuate strongly between regions, with the Sahel belt, Northern Europe, Alaska and Northern Siberia expected to see more rain, while the Amazon region is forecast to be drier this season.

Thanh Hà
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