Forecast of when storms will intensify after the first super typhoon of the season

Khánh Minh |

New storms will soon accelerate again after the early season super typhoons have dissipated.

The Atlantic hurricane season has been resting for nearly three weeks after creating historic Superstorm Beryl, but the basin is about to wake up, CNN reported.

Phil Klotzbach, a hurricane expert at Colorado State University (USA), said: "There will definitely be some storms forming. They will come earlier, not too late".

The Atlantic hurricane season typically begins to accelerate in August, especially in the second half of the month. But this year's hurricane season - expected to be active - has made history when Hurricane Beryl broke out into a severe superstorm in early July.

Beryl rapidly intensified from a low pressure area to a super typhoon, partly due to the warm sea water in July and July like in September - a phenomenon that became more common as the planet heated up due to fossil fuel pollution.

This rapidly strengthening storm also has two other factors needed to form a storm that have been lacking up to now: moist air and no upper-level winds that cause storm disturbances, known as wind shear.

Ocean temperatures remain warm, but a large area of dry, dusty air has limited moisture and helped curb tropical activity in the Atlantic after Hurricane Beryl.

This so-called Sahara dust originates from dusty storms in Africa, trapped in an air mass above the surface and then transported across the Atlantic by perverse winds.

Sahara bushes move from Africa and across the Atlantic all year round, but their high concentrations peak in early summer, like this year.

According to analyst Michael Lowry, this July recorded the second highest concentration of Sahara dust in the Atlantic since 2002 when satellites began collecting this data.

But the dry air and dust Sahara does not last long and are likely to dissipate in August, according to Klotzbach.

Dust is not the only factor that has kept the Atlantic calm after Hurricane Beryl. Klotzbach said the upper-level winds were too strong for the storm to form in July, but there were signs of calmer winds and favorable conditions in the coming weeks.

Klotzbach estimates that all the necessary atmospheric conditions will converge over the next 10 days, opening the door for more storms.

While Klotzbach does not think a typhoon will definitely form immediately after favorable conditions converge, it is only a matter of time before it does.

The storm forecast from the Climate Prediction Center highlights an area that is likely to develop storms from July 31 to August 6.

Part of the western Atlantic and Caribbean have at least a 20 percent chance of developing a hurricane during this period.

There is a 20% or more chance of it remaining in place until mid-August and expanding across much of the tropical Atlantic, from western Cabo Verde to the eastern Caribbean.

The most active period of the Atlantic hurricane season typically falls between mid-August and mid-October, peaking around September 10.

When the hurricane season wakes up again, quiet times may be very little.

Khánh Minh
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