Coffee price today 12. 7: Leaving the area approaching the 100,000 VND/kg mark

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Coffee prices today, July 12, decreased in the domestic market, falling back to the region of 94. 700-95. 300 VND/kg.

Domestic coffee prices today

Coffee prices today in the domestic market turned down after maintaining in the high zone. The average price was recorded at 95,200 VND/kg, down 3,100 VND/kg compared to the previous update.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices decreased by 3,000 VND/kg, down to 95,200 VND/kg. In Gia Lai, coffee prices reached 95,200 VND/kg, down 3,100 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, coffee prices today decreased by 3,200 VND/kg, down to 94,700 VND/kg. This is the lowest level among the surveyed areas.

The old Dak Nong area recorded the highest purchase price, reaching 95,300 VND/kg, down 3,100 VND/kg compared to the previous update.

After this decrease, the domestic coffee price level has left the near-100,000 VND/kg zone. However, the current price is still significantly higher than the area below 93,000 VND/kg recorded before the recent strong increase.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,060 VND/USD, down 14 VND.

World coffee prices

At the close of last week's session, world coffee prices simultaneously decreased on both the London and New York exchanges.

On the London exchange, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract fell 191 USD/ton, equivalent to 4.72%, to 3,852 USD/ton.

During the session, this contract at one point reached 4,009 USD/ton but then fell to the lowest level of 3,790 USD/ton. Trading volume reached 11,256 lots.

Robusta for November 2026 delivery fell 183 USD/ton, equivalent to 4.57%, to 3,819 USD/ton.

The January and March 2027 terms decreased by 177 USD/ton and 175 USD/ton respectively, to 3,790 USD/ton and 3,758 USD/ton.

The July 2026 Robusta contract stood at 3,872 USD/ton, down 20 USD/ton. However, this term has low trading volume because it is close to maturity, so the September contract reflects the market trend more clearly.

On the New York exchange, Arabica also fell sharply. September 2026 Arabica futures fell 13.65 US cents/lb, equivalent to 3.92%, to 334.25 US cents/lb.

Arabica December 2026 futures fell 12.20 US cents/lb, equivalent to 3.72%, to 316.00 US cents/lb.

The March and May 2027 terms decreased by 11.35 US cents/lb and 10.80 US cents/lb respectively, to 309.65 US cents/lb and 307.50 US cents/lb.

The July 2026 Arabica contract reached 343.00 US cents/lb, down 13.95 US cents/lb. However, this term has lower trading volume than long-term contracts because it is near maturity.

Coffee price assessment

Domestic coffee prices fell sharply after approaching the 110,000 VND/kg mark. This development is accompanied by the adjustment of Robusta and Arabica prices in the world market.

In the short term, the coffee market still fluctuates strongly after previous rapid increases. When prices rise high in a short time, profit-taking pressure often appears, causing prices to reverse sharply in both the international and domestic markets.

The simultaneous decrease in Robusta and Arabica shows a return of cautious sentiment. However, the current price level is still high compared to the beginning of July, reflecting that the market has not yet emerged from a sensitive state to weather, inventory and supply information.

From a global supply-demand perspective, the report of the International Coffee Organization (ICO) said that Coffee Market Report is a publication tracking price, trade and supply-demand balance of the coffee industry. Recent reports show that coffee prices are strongly affected by expectations of improved supply and export fluctuations.

For Brazil, the Foreign Agricultural Services Agency of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA/FAS) said that the Brazilian National Supply Company (CONAB) forecasts Brazil's coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year to reach 66.7 million bags, an increase of 18% compared to 2025.

Brazil is the world's largest Arabica producer. Therefore, the prospect of a large crop in this country is still an important factor that could put pressure on Arabica prices in the medium term.

Rabobank of the Netherlands also assessed that harvesting activities in Brazil in May were favorable in both the Arabica and Conilon regions, with stable weather forecasts supporting harvest progress. This shows that the prospect of Brazil's supply is still a factor that needs to be closely monitored.

With Robusta, supply from Vietnam continues to be a noteworthy factor. The USDA/FAS report forecasts that Vietnam's coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year will increase to 32.5 million bags converted to green beans, thanks to production expansion after a period of high coffee prices.

Vietnam is the world's largest Robusta producer, so the prospect of increased production may put pressure on Robusta in the medium term. However, prices may still fluctuate sharply due to export demand, inventory and fluctuations on international exchanges.

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