Domestic coffee prices
On October 15, 2025, coffee prices in key Central Highlands regions fell sharply, bringing the average price of the whole region down to about 113,700 VND/kg.
Specifically, Dak Nong (old) and Dak Lak decreased by VND800/kg and VND700/kg respectively, down to VND113,800/kg. Coffee prices in Lam Dong also decreased by 700 VND/kg to 113,000 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
The international coffee market witnessed differentiation, leading to a decline in the Vietnamese market.
Robusta ( London) turned down 52 USD/ton (1.14%) for the November/25 term, closing at 4,508 USD/ton.
In contrast, Arabica continued to increase by more than 3%, but not enough to keep Robusta and domestic prices.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
Today's decline is the result of a conflict between seasonal risks and the actual supply of Robusta. The market is being affected by two opposing forces, according to Barchart.com.
Regarding the upward pull (supporting Arabica), the biggest driver is the Brazilian drought. Brazil's largest Arabica growing region has only received 48% of its historical average rainfall, raising serious concerns about the 2026/27 crop. In addition, Arabica inventories have fallen to a 1.5-year low due to US tariffs on Brazil, and the possibility of La Nina (causing drought) increasing to 71%, also continues to support Arabica prices.
However, the downward pressure on prices (pushing pressure on Robusta) comes from increased Vietnamese supply. The report shows that Vietnam's coffee exports in the first 9 months of 2025 increased by 10.9%, and the 2025/26 crop is forecast to increase by 6.9% to a record of 31 million bags. In addition, the forecast of heavy rain in the Central Highlands last October also supports the productivity of the new crop, creating more downward pressure on Robusta.
The short-term trend forecast is cautious and full of fluctuations. Although Arabica is strongly supported by the season risk, Robusta is under pressure from supply. Domestic prices are likely to continue to fluctuate within a narrow range, waiting for clearer signals from the new harvest season.
