Domestic coffee prices drop sharply
The domestic coffee market today recorded a sharp decrease, down lower than previous sessions. Currently, the price of green coffee beans in the Central Highlands and the South fluctuates around 129,500 - 131,000 VND/kg.
Dak Lak, Gia Lai, Dak Nong: 131,000 VND/kg (1,300 VND).
Lam Dong: 129,500 VND/kg (1,500 VND).
According to experts, domestic coffee prices decreased due to pressure from the world market, as investors took profits after a series of strong increases. In addition, information predicting that coffee output of Vietnam and Brazil may improve in the 2025/26 crop year is also affecting market sentiment.
World coffee prices: Strong adjustment trend
On international exchanges, coffee prices have decreased simultaneously due to selling pressure from investors.
Robusta price ( London):
Contract for March 2025: 5,735 USD/ton (-59 USD, -1.02%).
Contract for May 2025: 5,726 USD/ton (-62 USD, -1.07%).
Arabica price (New York):
March 2025 contract: 419,75 cents/lb (-19.15 cents, -4.36%).
May 2025 contract: 407.40 cents/lb (17.70 cents, -4.16%).
Arabica prices have decreased the most in the past week due to investors stepping up profit-taking after the price of this type of coffee has continuously hit new peaks. Some experts said that the forecast of Brazil's new crop output may increase slightly in 2026, also causing prices to decrease.
Coffee market forecast: Is the downward pressure over?
According to a survey from Reuters, Arabica prices may decrease by about 30% by the end of 2025, as high prices affect consumption demand. At the same time, it is forecasted that Brazil's coffee output in the 2025/26 crop year could reach 40.55 million bags, down from the previous crop year but still enough to ensure supply.
Vietnam and Brazil are showing signs of increasing Robusta exports, putting pressure on the price of this type of coffee. Some traders predict that Robusta prices could reach 4,200 USD/ton by the end of 2025, down about 28% compared to present.
Analysts recommend that businesses and coffee growers need to closely monitor market developments to avoid selling off during strong price adjustments.
