Domestic coffee prices
Opening the trading session on Monday morning, January 19, the coffee market in the Central Highlands provinces has not recorded any new price fluctuations compared to yesterday. After a week of storms with a peak of 99,300 VND/kg set, the market seems to be temporarily resting to accumulate strength and determine a clearer trend. The average buying price of the whole region this morning continued to stabilize at 99,100 VND/kg.
Going deeper into the developments in each locality, Dak Nong province (old) is still affirming its leading position in the country when maintaining the highest purchasing price of 99,300 VND/kg.
Immediately after that are the two major coffee capitals Dak Lak and Gia Lai, where agents are trading stably at 99,000 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong province alone, the price of crushed coffee beans this morning was purchased at 98,300 VND/kg, slightly lower than the general level but still a very high price compared to the same period in previous years.
World coffee prices
On the international market, due to not yet entering the new trading session of the week, the price indices this morning still maintained the closing level of the last session of last week. Specifically, on the London Stock Exchange, Robusta coffee futures for March 2026 are stopping at an important psychological milestone of 4,000 USD/ton, slightly down 3 USD compared to the previous session. Maintaining this 4,000 USD mark is considered an important technical stopper, helping to prevent sell-offs and nurture hopes of price increase again this week.
Meanwhile, the New York Stock Exchange was under slightly greater pressure when it ended the past trading week in red. Arabica coffee futures for March 2026 closed at 355.30 cents/lb, down 2.80 cents, equivalent to a decrease of 0.77%. The main reason why the world market's upward momentum was curbed is because the latest weather forecasts show that it is likely to rain more in key coffee growing areas of Brazil this week. This information has somewhat eased the worry about severe drought that was the driving force pushing prices up sharply in the middle of last week.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
Entering the trading week from January 19 to January 24, the market is facing important turning points that decide whether the 100,000 VND/kg mark will be conquered before the Tet holiday or not.
Currently, the market is being supported by low inventory factors, when Robusta inventory on the ICE exchange, although slightly recovering, is still at a historically low level. In addition, the fact that last week's rainfall in the Minas Gerais region of Brazil only reached 29% of the historical average is also proof that the risk of water shortage is real.
However, the risk of correction is still present if widespread rains are forecast to appear in Brazil this week as expected by meteorologists. At that time, Arabica prices may continue to bear downward pressure, putting interconnected pressure on Robusta prices and the domestic market.
