Domestic coffee prices continue to weaken
Domestic coffee prices continued to decline last week. The price ranges from 95,500 - 96,000 VND/kg.
In Dak Lak, Gia Lai and Dak Nong, coffee prices stood at VND96,000/kg, while Lam Dong was lower at VND95,500/kg. The gap between localities has narrowed, reflecting the consistent selling mentality in the market.
Compared to the beginning of the week (17.), domestic coffee prices have lost from 14,000 - 15,000 VND/kg, equivalent to nearly 14% of the value. Since the beginning of June, the decrease has been up to more than 20,000 VND/kg. However, compared to the same period last year (June 22, 2024), coffee prices have decreased by VND21,000 - 27,000/kg
Summary of world coffee prices last week
Last week (June 16, 2025 - June 20, 2025), derivative coffee prices on the international market fell sharply, recording a series of consecutive declines for six sessions, with the deepest decline in more than a month on both the London ( Robusta) and New York ( Arabica) exchanges. The data below reflects the closing price trend of the weekend session (June 20, 2025, Vietnam time).
Robusta price on the London Stock Exchange:
July 2025 term: The price decreased by 550 USD/ton compared to the beginning of the week, from 4,570 USD/ton (16.6.2025) to 4,020 USD/ton (20.6.2025).
September 2025 term: Price decreased by 510 USD/ton, from 4,401 USD/ton to 3,891 USD/ton.
Longer terms (November 2025, January 2026, March 2026): Prices decreased in the range of 500 - 525 USD/ton, bringing the price level to the range of 3,752 - 3,891 USD/ton, the lowest level since the beginning of May 2025.
Arabica prices on the New York Stock Exchange:
July 2025 term: The price decreased by 23.6 cents/lb, from 348.5 cents/lb (16.6.2025) to 324.9 cents/lb (equivalent to about 7,160 USD/ton) on June 20, 2025.
September 2025 term: The price decreased by 20.8 cents/lb, from 343.1 cents/lb to 322.3 cents/lb (about 7,110 USD/ton).
Longer terms (December 2025, March 2026): Prices decreased from 19.5 - 21.5 cents/lb, retreating to the 308.6 - 317.8 cents/lb range.
Market analysis
Coffee prices fell sharply due to improved global supply. Brazil - the world's largest coffee producer - is entering the harvest season with an expected increase of 0.5%, reaching about 65 million bags. In Vietnam, Robusta coffee output in the 2025-2026 crop year is estimated to increase by 7%, to a 4-year high of about 31 million bags thanks to favorable weather.
The decline was also driven by profit-taking activities on the London and New York exchanges, as speculators rushed to sell after a period of high prices. Warm winter forecast in Brazil eases price fog concerns, while a stronger US dollar puts pressure on domestic coffee prices. In addition, geopolitical tensions have also caused cash flow to leave the commodity market, contributing to the decline in global coffee prices.
