Domestic coffee prices
After a series of days of maintaining a hot increase, the domestic coffee market this morning, November 27, 2025, recorded a simultaneous downward adjustment in key growing areas. Pressure from the world market has immediately affected domestic purchasing prices, pushing the average price back to 111,300 VND/kg.
In Dak Lak province, the price of green coffee beans purchased at 111,500 VND/kg decreased by 500 VND compared to the previous trading session.
Similarly, in the old Dak Nong province, the price also remained at 111,500 VND/kg after a slight decrease of 500 VND/kg. These are currently the two localities recording the highest purchase prices in the Central Highlands region.
In Gia Lai province, the market recorded a decrease of VND 500/kg, bringing the trading price to VND 111,000/kg.
Notably, Lam Dong province recorded the sharpest decrease in this morning's session when it lost up to 800 VND/kg, bringing the purchase price down to 110,500 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
At the end of the trading session early this morning (Vietnam time), the electronic boards at the two largest exchanges in the world have changed color, reflecting the concerns of speculators.
On the London Stock Exchange, Robusta coffee futures for delivery in January 2026 have lost their reference level yesterday, closing at 4,513 USD/ton, "evaporating" 46 USD/ton (equivalent to 1.00%). Selling pressure also spread to March and May 2026 terms with decreases of 37 USD and 28 USD respectively.
Similarly, on the New York exchange, Arabica coffee prices also failed to hold green. The March 2026 delivery period closed at 379.70 cents/lb, down 3.60 cents (0.93%). The May 2026 term was reduced to 362.70 cents/lb, down 3.00 cents. These figures show a significant correction after a series of vibrant trading days before.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
The market has just gone through an emotional trading session when the main "favorite" stopping the increase was identified as the latest decision from the European Parliament.
The agency's decision to postpone the implementation of the EUDR for another year has created a psychological "turnaround". According to Barchart, traders believe that this delay will remove bottlenecks in supply in the short term, allowing coffee from Africa, Indonesia and South America to continue flowing into the old continent without facing immediate legal barriers.
However, observers believe that this decrease is only temporary technical and psychological, because weather factors are still weighing on raw material areas.
In Brazil, Minas Gerais's rainfall last week was below average, raising concerns about Arabica's health. Meanwhile, in Vietnam's Dak Lak coffee plantation, heavy rains are expected to disrupt the Robusta harvest progress, creating a significant support for prices in the coming days.
In addition, the ICE stock exchange is issuing a red alert. Arabica inventories have hit a 1.75-year low, while Robusta has also fallen to a 6-month low. The scarcity of actual goods at port warehouses is still an unknown that can trigger an increase at any time, despite macro news from Europe.
Looking at the medium and long term, the market is still in a tug-of-war situation between the one hand, the pressure of supply is forecast to increase (with Brazil and Vietnam's output in the coming crop both forecast to be positive) and the other hand, the unpredictable extreme weather risk.
