Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market last week (December 23 - December 28) witnessed a series of "rapid" price increases, dispelling the gloomy atmosphere of previous weeks. If at the beginning of the week, coffee prices in the Central Highlands were still hovering in the area of 90,000 VND/kg, then by the end of the week, the purchasing price list had completely changed its new face. Closing the last session of the week, the price of crushed coffee in key areas is trading in the range of 97,000 - 98,200 VND/kg, recording an average increase of 7,500 to 8,000 VND/kg in just one week.
In the coffee capital Dak Lak, agents purchased at a price of 98,000 VND/kg, a sharp increase of 1,300 VND/kg compared to yesterday and an increase of about 7,700 VND compared to the beginning of the week. In Lam Dong - where the price is usually the lowest in the region - the price has also climbed to 97,000 VND/kg, an increase of 2,000 VND/kg compared to the previous session.
Notably, Dak Nong (old) continued to lead the upward momentum when the price touched the threshold of 98,200 VND/kg, the highest level in the region today.
In Gia Lai, the purchasing price is also firmly anchored at 98,000 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
On the international market, green color covered both major futures exchanges in the closing session at the end of the week, strongly supporting the upward momentum of Vietnamese domestic prices. At the close of the most recent trading session, Robusta coffee prices on the London exchange (term for January 2026) had a spectacular breakthrough, increasing by 42 USD, officially exceeding the psychological threshold of 4,000 USD to close at 4,012 USD/ton. This is an extremely positive technical signal, confirming the recovery trend after the previous series of downward adjustments.
At the same time, on the New York exchange, Arabica coffee prices were also not inferior when recording impressive increases. March 2026 futures contracts increased by 5.10 cents, closing the session at 350.25 cents/lb. The upward resonance of both exchanges stemmed from concerns about short-term supply as inventories on exchanges were reported to decrease, coupled with the cooling down of the USD, which stimulated speculative capital flows to return to derivative commodity markets. Arabica's retention above the 350 cent/lb mark is creating a very good psychological momentum for the entire agricultural market in general.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
Looking back at the past week, it can be affirmed that the market has entered a typical V-shaped recovery. The fact that Robusta re-occupied the 4,000 USD/ton mark and Arabica exceeded 350 cents/lb is not only a technical fluctuation but also reflects the actual concern about supply shortages in the context of high year-end consumption demand.
Forecast for next week - the first trading week of the new year 2026 - the upward trend is likely to continue but there may be slight fluctuations to retest the new price range. For the domestic market, the 100,000 VND/kg mark is very close. If the upward momentum of the London exchange continues to be maintained next Monday, it is highly likely that the Tay Nguyen coffee price will conquer the 3-digit mark right in the first days of January. However, farmers also need to carefully monitor exchange rate developments and the movements of speculative funds, avoiding the situation of "fomo" (fear of missing) when the market shows signs of correction.
