Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning (January 2) continued to record a positive trading atmosphere.
Despite entering the New Year holiday, the purchasing price level in the Central Highlands still edged up a new step. On average, the price of coffee in the whole region has increased by 300 VND/kg compared to yesterday, reaching 98,500 VND/kg.
The focus of this morning's price increase was Gia Lai. This locality recorded the strongest increase in the region at 400 VND/kg, bringing the purchase price from 98,000 VND to 98,400 VND/kg, narrowing the gap with leading provinces. In the "capital" Dak Lak, coffee prices also increased by another 200 VND/kg, firmly consolidating the 98,500 VND/kg mark.
Dak Nong (old) continues to affirm its position as the locality with the best purchasing price (equal to Dak Lak) when it increased by 200 VND/kg, listed at 98,500 VND/kg.
Even in Lam Dong - the lowest price area - the market also recorded an increase of 200 VND/kg, bringing the transaction price to 97,700 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
On the international market, although liquidity stagnated due to the New Year holiday, the closing price levels are still anchored in a very high zone, creating a solid foundation for the upward trend.
Specifically, on the London exchange, the price of Robusta coffee for March 2026 delivery - the main reference term - is standing firmly at 3,949 USD/ton. In particular, the January 2026 spot delivery is still maintained at a peak of 4,109 USD/ton. The fact that the spot price of Robusta is higher than the futures (inflationary price structure) and stands firm above the 4,000 USD/ton mark shows that the actual demand for this type of coffee is still very tense.
On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee prices are also temporarily stopping at a high level after a series of strong fluctuations. March 2026 futures remain at 348.75 cents/lb. May 2026 futures stand at 333.35 cents/lb. This price level reflects investors' concerns about the drought in the Minas Gerais region (Brazil) when last week's rainfall only reached 17% of the historical average, along with information that floods threatened production in Indonesia.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
Looking at the overall picture, it can be seen that the market is in a state of accumulating strength to wait for the first bursting trading sessions of the new year. The fact that world prices are anchored high despite pressure from the USD is a very good technical signal.
Weather factors are still the most important variables at this time. With information that floods in Indonesia could reduce exports by up to 15%, global Robusta supply, which is already tight, will become even more scarce in the first quarter of 2026. This directly benefits Vietnamese coffee.
It is predicted that in the coming days, when speculative funds return to trading after the holiday, cash flow may continue to flow into the commodity market. Domestic coffee prices with the current upward momentum are completely capable of touching and exceeding the 99,000 VND/kg mark by the end of this week.
