Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market maintains a stable state at a high level after a series of hot days of increase at the beginning of the year. The average price of the entire Central Highlands region is currently firmly anchored at the 98,500 VND/kg mark.
In detail in localities, Lam Dong continues to be a bright spot when recording a slight increase of 200 VND/kg compared to yesterday, bringing the purchasing price to 97,900 VND/kg, gradually narrowing the gap with the remaining provinces. In Dak Lak, the "capital" of coffee maintained a high price of 98,500 VND/kg.
Similarly, in Dak Nong (old), the purchasing price was stable at 98,500 VND/kg. Gia Lai also maintained a trading level of 98,400 VND/kg. Looking back at the past week, domestic coffee prices have made a spectacular leap, increasing by an average of 1,000 - 1,500 VND/kg, firmly consolidating the belief that the price mark of 100,000 VND will be soon conquered next week.
World coffee prices
The world coffee market closed the weekend trading session in bright green, especially on the New York exchange.
On the New York Stock Exchange, Arabica coffee futures for March 2026 had a strong breakthrough, increasing by 6.65 cents/lb (equivalent to 1.91%), closing the week at a high of 355.10 cents/lb. Long-term futures also simultaneously increased sharply, with the May 2026 term exceeding the 340 cent/lb mark. The main driving force for this increase came from the money market, when Brazil's Real rose to the highest level in 2 weeks against the USD, reducing selling pressure from Brazilian farmers.
On the London exchange, Robusta coffee prices also maintained a positive upward momentum despite a lighter range. March 2026 futures contracts increased by 5 USD, closing at 3,954 USD/ton. However, the highlight lies in the January 2026 spot futures when prices increased by 23 USD, jumping to 4,132 USD/ton. The increasingly expanding price structure shows that the shortage of spot goods in Europe has not been resolved.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
The first trading week of 2026 has closed with extremely optimistic signals. The current price increase momentum is being resonated by the "three-legged link": Weather – Exchange rate – Inventory.
First, regarding the weather, the low rainfall in the Minas Gerais region (Brazil) is raising concerns about the yield of the upcoming Arabica crop, while serious floods in Indonesia threaten to reduce exports by 15% of this country. Second, the strengthening Real Brazil is directly limiting selling power from the world's number 1 exporting country.
Forecast for next week (January 5 - January 10), the upward trend is likely to continue. With the excitement from the New York Stock Exchange last weekend, the domestic market on Monday morning tomorrow may witness a new upward correction. The mark of 99,000 - 100,000 VND/kg is within reach. However, investors also need to note that technical profit-taking pressure may appear.
