Domestic coffee prices
In the domestic market, coffee prices this morning did not have new fluctuations compared to yesterday's session and remained at the lowest level since mid-March.
The average purchase price of the entire Central Highlands region is currently standing at the threshold of 89,200 VND/kg.
In Dak Nong province (old), coffee prices continued to maintain the highest level in the region at 89,300 VND/kg.
Two other localities, Dak Lak and Gia Lai, both maintained stable trading levels at the 89.200 VND/kg mark.
In Lam Dong province alone, coffee prices are currently listed at the lowest level in the region at 88,700 VND/kg.
In general, the psychology of farmers and agents is still quite cautious as prices have fallen by more than 7,000 VND/kg compared to the peak period last month.
World coffee prices
Developments on futures exchanges last night recorded green in New York amid the UK market holiday.
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): May 2026 futures increased by 2.65 cents (++0.90%), closing at 298.05 cents/lb. Arabica prices recovered mainly thanks to the Brazilian Real rising to a 3.5-week high. This reduced the competitiveness of Brazilian coffee when exported, thereby limiting supply pushed into the market and supporting futures prices.
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): Closed for trading break on Easter Monday. The most recent matched order price is still anchored at 3,448 USD/ton.
Market outlook
In terms of market assessment, although Arabica has a technical recovery momentum, long-term oversupply pressure is still the biggest barrier to current coffee prices. StoneX organization has just issued a shocking forecast when estimating that the global coffee surplus in 2026 will expand to 10 million bags, a sharp increase compared to the figure of 1.8 million bags in 2025. This is considered the largest surplus in the past 6 years. In addition, the "super crop" forecast of 75.9 million bags of Brazil from Marex Group continues to strengthen the pessimistic sentiment of investors in the medium term.
However, the market still receives some underground support from geopolitical and weather factors. The continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the conflict in Iran is sharply increasing sea transportation, insurance and fuel costs for international roasters.
In addition, the rainfall report in the Minas Gerais region of Brazil last week only reached 47% of the historical average, this factor may directly affect the quality of coffee beans in the next crop year.
In Vietnam, although the export growth momentum in the first quarter was very strong with an increase of 14% to 585,000 tons, the ICE floor inventory of Robusta hitting a 3.5-month low is still an important support to help prices not fall deeply.
It is predicted that in the coming sessions, when the London exchange reopens after the holidays, domestic coffee prices are likely to continue to fluctuate and accumulate around the 88,500 - 90,000 VND/kg range.
The actual prices in localities may differ depending on the quality of the seeds and the transaction agreement.
