Coffee prices on April 17: Sudden reversal

Hạ Linh |

Coffee prices on April 17 decreased by 1,300 VND/kg, reaching 87,100 VND. Domestic and world markets are submerged in red, forecasting the situation in the second quarter.

Domestic coffee prices

The domestic coffee market on April 17 interrupted the series of price increases, creating an additional gap with the peak set on March 24 of about 6,600 VND/kg.

According to surveys in key growing areas of the Central Highlands, coffee prices decreased from 1,200 - 1,300 VND/kg, bringing the average price level of the whole region to the threshold of 87,100 VND/kg.

In Dak Nong province (old), the recorded purchasing price was the highest in the region at 87.2 million VND/kg, down 1.2 million VND/kg.

Dak Lak and Gia Lai localities simultaneously decreased the deepest by 1,300 VND/kg, down to 87,000 VND/kg.

The lowest price offered to the market is Lam Dong province, currently listed at 86,600 VND/kg.

World coffee prices

On the international market, exchanges simultaneously reversed direction. Closing the trading session, the price of online Robusta coffee for May 2026 delivery on the London exchange decreased by 1.52% (about 54 USD/ton), to 3,474 USD/ton.

July 2026 futures contract decreased by 1.37% (equivalent to 47 USD/ton), reaching 3,347 USD/ton.

Similarly, on the New York exchange, the price of Arabica coffee for delivery in May 2026 decreased deeply by 2.55% (7.8 US cents/lb), reaching 296.45 US cents/lb. The contract for delivery in July 2026 plunged 2.62% (7.85 US cents/lb), reaching 290.40 US cents/lb.

Market outlook

Coffee prices plummeted due to pressure from a stronger USD. The USD index recovered from a 6-week low and increased again, triggering profit-taking sell-offs on the coffee futures market. However, Robusta's decline was somewhat limited by tightened short-term supply, as Robusta inventories tracked by ICE fell to a 1.25-year low, to 3,867 lots.

Previously, Arabica coffee prices fell to a 1-month low due to expectations for a record crop in Brazil. On the supporting side, supply from Brazil is showing signs of decline. According to Cecafe, Brazil's green coffee exports in March decreased by 10% over the same period, to 2.65 million bags. The Brazilian Ministry of Commerce also reported that exports in March decreased by 31%, to 151,000 tons.

Vietnam's coffee exports in March 2026 recovered thanks to increased post-harvest supply and accelerated delivery activities. According to data from the Vietnam Customs Department, Vietnam's coffee exports in March 2026 reached 222.0 thousand tons, worth 990.2 million USD, an increase of 56.0% in volume and 47.5% in value compared to February 2026, compared to March 2025, an increase of 15.6% in volume, but a decrease of 11.5% in value.

Forecast for the second quarter of 2026, coffee exports will stagnate as domestic supply decreases after the harvest season, while global inventories are high and demand from the EU and the United States recovers slowly. At the same time, supply from Brazil and Indonesia increases with the prospect of improved new crop output, which will make price competition fiercer, putting pressure on Vietnam's exports.

Hạ Linh
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