Domestic coffee prices
The coffee market this morning, April 8th, recorded a simultaneous decrease of 4,000 VND in all key purchasing areas in the Central Highlands region.
The average price across the region is currently only anchored at the threshold of 85. 200 VND/kg after the sell-off wave on international exchanges spread widely.
Specifically, in Dak Nong province (old), the purchase price retreated to 85,300 VND/kg, while in Dak Lak and Gia Lai it stood at the same mark of 85,200 VND/kg.
Lam Dong province currently has the lowest price in the region when trading around the threshold of 84,700 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
On international exchanges, coffee prices also simultaneously decreased sharply due to the impact of the latest supply and demand forecasts.
The London exchange witnessed the price of Robusta for May 2026 delivery fall 133 USD, closing at 3,315 USD/ton, this is the lowest level for near futures in the past 8 months.
On the New York exchange, Arabica prices also fell 11.95 cents to 286.10 cents/lb. Investors are stepping up position liquidation as they face information that the global coffee surplus in 2026 could reach 10 million bags according to StoneX's forecast. This is considered the largest surplus in the last 6 years, putting heavy pressure on market sentiment.
Market outlook
The main reason for this price reduction comes from the prospect of abundant supply from major producing countries. Marex Group forecasts Brazil's output in the next crop year to reach a record 75.9 million bags, an increase of more than 15% compared to the previous year. At the same time, Vietnam's Q1 export figures increased by 14% to 585,000 tons, showing that goods are circulating quite strongly in the international market. Although factors such as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz or low rainfall in Brazil are still supporting transportation costs and crop risks, that is not enough to stop the decline as record surplus reports continuously appear.
It is forecasted that in the coming time, domestic coffee prices will continue to face a major challenge around the threshold of 84,000 - 85,000 VND/kg.
