The real estate market in 2026 is forecast to enter an important adjustment phase when supply is strongly unlocked, infrastructure is accelerated and credit policies are maintained at a high level. In that context, apartment and land plot prices are forecast to be different from previous years.
Commenting on market developments in 2026, Dr. Le Xuan Nghia - an economic expert said that real estate prices are unlikely to increase sharply as in the previous period. Although economic growth is still maintained at a high level, about 8.5 - 10%, supply is being strongly unlocked thanks to a series of resolutions and new laws that are beginning to take effect.
When supply increases faster than demand, prices will slow down, even tend to stagnate. This is something investors need to pay special attention to," he analyzed.
According to Dr. Nghia, the nature of real estate investment is not only to buy current value but more importantly to buy future value. If there is faith in the sustainable development prospects of Vietnam's economy, real estate is still a solid long-term investment channel.
He also suggested a strategic direction for the market in the future, which is medical - pharmaceutical - resort real estate. With the advantages of a team of good doctors, abundant medicinal herbs and favorable natural conditions, Vietnam can become a high-quality medical - resort center of the region and the world if invested methodically and standardly.
From practical surveys in many localities, Dr. Nghia said that apartment prices in Hanoi may continue to increase but at a slower rate; even in some provinces, apartment prices have decreased compared to the previous year. Meanwhile, land plots have almost never decreased in price but continue to increase according to the long-term development prospects of the economy.
Meanwhile, Dr. Nguyen Van Dinh - Vice Chairman of the Vietnam Real Estate Association, said that 2026 will be a period when the market directly benefits from the Government's efforts to remove legal obstacles and promote public investment. With a disbursement plan of about 1 million billion VND for infrastructure, the market is not only vibrant in major cities but also spreading to new economic regions, including the Southwest region. The synchronous development of urban infrastructure, industrial parks and tourism services is expected to create demand for related segments.
According to Mr. Dinh, in the overall picture, the housing segment still plays a key role thanks to the State's attention. The 1 million social housing program is recording progress with the goal of completion by 2028 and is expected to reach about 1.5 million units by 2030, exceeding the initial plan.
He also believes that the combination of policies to unlock supply and credit growth maintained at about 15% is creating a favorable environment for the market. Quality projects and real estate types from industry to retail can maintain stable growth momentum in 2026.
The real estate picture in the period from late 2025 to early 2026 also records the impact from transport infrastructure. The simultaneous start of many projects, including metro lines in Ho Chi Minh City and a high-speed railway network connecting growth poles such as Hanoi - Quang Ninh, not only expands urban space but also directly affects investment capital flows in the market.
