Arsenal has 5% to win the quadruple this season

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Arsenal still has an advantage in all 4 participating arenas and the opportunity to make history is unprecedented.

The last time Arsenal won a title was in 2020 with the FA Cup. However, this title is not ranked in the "main" group, it is just a secondary arena, so if you look broadly, it has been 22 years since Arsenal won a major title like the Premier League or Champions League.

In the middle of the week, Arsenal defeated Chelsea in the League Cup semi-finals and will meet Man City in the final after The Citizens defeat Newcastle. The League Cup final will take place on March 22 and it is an opportunity for The Gunners to win their first title this season, taking the first step in their dream journey of a quadruple.

After the victory over Leeds last week, along with Man City's draw against Tottenham, the gap between Arsenal and the opponent has been widened from 4 to 6 points. In this round, Man City will have to play away at Liverpool's Anfield, while Arsenal only has to welcome Sunderland at home. If the scenario goes exactly as the Gooners are expecting, the gap between them and City can be widened to 9 points. From there, the opportunity to win the Premier League will be wider than ever.

Arsenal vẫn đang dẫn đầu Premier League. Ảnh: AFP
Arsenal is still leading the Premier League. Photo: AFP

In the history of English football, no team has ever won a quadruple. If calculated by the number of titles and current playgrounds, it must be the Champions League, Premier League, FA Cup and League Cup quartet. Titles like the Super Cup are not counted. Journalist Phil Hay of The Athletic commented that in all 4 arenas Arsenal is competing for, no team has the shape of a champion like The Gunners, Arteta's Arsenal is a machine.

If right now Arsenal plays 4 decisive matches to win 4 leagues, they can do it, but that only happens in dreams. The biggest obstacle for Mikel Arteta's team is the number of matches to be able to win all 4 arenas. According to calculations, Arsenal needs to play 65 matches in all 4 arenas and win in the finals/rounds to complete the dream of winning 4.

Compared to Man United, the team only played 40 matches this season and is rated quite poorly. From that milestone to the level of possibly 4, they will have to play 25 more matches. That is a huge amount for Arsenal, from moving, training to going to the field. In December 2025, Arteta complained about his team having to play with too high a frequency, up to 7 matches in 20 days. Although Arsenal's squad depth is currently number 1 in Europe, playing so hard, no one dares to be sure that risks will not come.

Arsenal cũng từng mất nhiều trụ cột trong các giai đoạn khác nhau của mùa này vì chấn thương. Ảnh: AFP
Arsenal has also lost many key players in different periods of this season due to injuries. Photo: AFP

Luckily for Arteta, his team is injured fewer than the remaining 19 opponents in the Premier League in terms of the number of cases, according to Premier League Injuries statistics. However, the "Gunners" still have Champions League, FA Cup and League Cup. If they want to complete the quadruple, they need to further limit the number of injuries. In the FA Cup, the schedule is not too tight and if they solve the game in the Premier League early, Arsenal will be more free to play in the FA Cup and Champions League. In the Champions League, leading the qualifying round gives Arsenal a great advantage of playing the second leg semi-final at home. They need to keep their strongest force until then.

According to The Athletic's prediction, Arsenal has a 5% chance of winning the quadruple. They have 33% chance of winning the Champions League, 28% chance of winning the FA Cup. With the Premier League and League Cup, the predicted number is 100%.

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