While the technology and investment world is boiling with the wave of artificial intelligence (AI), renowned researcher Andrej Karpathy, co-founder of OpenAI, gives a cautious perspective that AGI (general artificial intelligence) is still at least ten years away.
Speaking at a recent broadcast hosted by Dwarkesh Patel, the former Tesla CEO said that no company or lab has ever really come close to creating an AI system that can learn and remember like humans.
"Artificial intelligence systems are not capable of continuous learning. You can't just tell AI something and it will remember it immediately. It is still a lack of awareness and it will take about a decade to solve all those problems, Karpathy shared.
According to him, the storm of expansion surrounding generative AI has led many people to mistakenly believe that the AGI era is approaching. Karpathy himself admitted that he was also drawn into this trend, especially when the technology community called 2025 the year of AI agents.
The current actors are very impressive, but there are still many limitations, he said.
If you want AI to work as a real employee, it doesnt work yet. AI is not smart enough, not multi-modal enough, cannot use computers effectively and that is the reason why we have not seen it replace humans.
On social network X, Karpathy believes that the 10-year mark to achieve AGI is actually an optimistic prediction. However, compared to the current wave of exaggerated statements, that number is considered modest.
In the context of a series of technology giants continuously claiming to be approaching AGI, Karpathy's view is seen as a warning, emphasizing that the journey to artificial intelligence is still long.
To achieve that, humanity needs more than data or computing power, which is the ability to learn, remember and understand like humans.
