According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, there is a possibility of a tropical cyclone appearing in the East Sea in May. According to the average data of many years, there are 0.5 storms or tropical depressions in the East Sea.
Regarding the 2025 natural disaster season, the Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that the ENSO phenomenon is in neutral conditions; from May to July 2025, ENSO is likely to maintain a neutral state with a probability of 70 - 90%.
Mr. Nguyen Van Huong - Head of Weather Forecasting Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that based on current monitoring and forecasting data, in the 2025 storm season, the number of storms and tropical depressions in the East Sea and affecting the mainland is likely to be equivalent to the average of many years in the same period.
"On average, there are about 11 - 13 storms/tropical depressions in the East Sea every many years and about 4 - 5 storms affecting the mainland. The storms are likely to be more concentrated in the second half of the storm season" - Mr. Huong said.
Mr. Nguyen Van Huong analyzed that the global warming trend creates conditions for the development of storms.
"In the future trend, the risk of strong storms and super typhoons will appear more frequently than in history" - Mr. Huong commented.
According to the Report of the Intergovernmental Committee on Climate Change, if global temperatures increase by 1 degree Celsius, the destructive power of the storm will increase by an average of 40%. In fact, compared to pre-industrial times, global temperatures have increased by 1.3 degrees Celsius, so sudden storms are also becoming more common.
