Forecast of the path of the tropical depression in the next 24 hours and bad weather developments

AN AN |

According to the meteorological agency, the tropical depression will reach level 8; moving west-northwest in the next 24 hours at a speed of about 10-15km/h.

According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, a tropical depression is active in the East Sea. At 7:00 a.m. on August 8, the center of the tropical depression was at about 19 degrees north latitude; 118.2 degrees east longitude, in the eastern sea of the northern and eastern seas.

The strongest wind near the center of the tropical depression is level 6 (39 - 49km/h), gusting to level 8; moving west-northwest at a speed of about 10-15km/h.

According to Mr. Mai Van Khiem - Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, in the next 24 hours, the tropical depression is forecast to move west-northwest at a speed of 10 - 15 km/h.

At 7:00 a.m. on August 9, the center of the tropical depression was at about 19.5 degrees north latitude; 115.6 degrees east longitude, about 500 km northeast of Hoang Sa archipelago. The strongest wind near the center of the tropical depression is level 6, gusting to level 8.

Ong Mai Van Khiem - Giam doc Trung tam Du bao Khi tuong Thuy van Quoc gia. Anh: An An
Mr. Mai Van Khiem - Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting. Photo: An An

The dangerous area in the next 24 hours will be determined from latitude 18 to 21 degrees north; from longitude 114.5 to 119.5 degrees east. The disaster risk level is level 3 for the affected area, the eastern sea area of the northern East Sea.

"It is forecasted that in the next 48 hours, the tropical depression will move northwest at a speed of 5 - 10 km/h and gradually weaken into a low pressure area" - Mr. Khiem said.

At 7:00 a.m. on August 10, the center of the low pressure area was at about 20.8 degrees north latitude; 114.3 degrees east longitude, in the northern sea area of the northern East Sea. The strongest wind is below level 6.

"Regarding the impact of the tropical depression at sea, the eastern sea area of the northern East Sea will have thunderstorms and strong winds of level 6, gusts of level 8, rough seas. Waves are 2 to 3 meters high. Ship operating in the above-mentioned dangerous areas are likely to be affected by thunderstorms, whirlwinds, strong winds and large waves" - Mr. Khiem warned.

Previously, since the beginning of the storm season, it is noteworthy that storm No. 1 has had a special, unusual and extreme nature, rare in the history of hydrometeorology in the Central region.

This is the first storm in the East Sea to appear in June in more than 40 years, and the first to cause particularly heavy rain in the Central Central region in June since 1952, with rainfall far exceeding previous records.

Storm No. 3 Wipha formed on July 19, moving quickly into the East Sea and reaching its peak of level 12, gusting to level 15 on July 21 before weakening and making landfall in Ninh Binh - Thanh Hoa at noon on July 22.

The storm caused strong winds over a wide area of the coastal areas of the North and North Central regions, in which Tien Yen (Quang Ninh) recorded gusts of level 14. The storm's circulation caused very heavy rain, many places exceeded 300mm in just 24 hours, especially Nga Son (Thanh Hoa) 412.6mm and caused a major flood in Nghe An.

"In years affected by a strong El Nino or a strong La Nina, the fluctuations of storms can become unusual. However, we warn that although this year is not a strong El Nino or La Nina year, the development of storms and tropical depressions is still complicated, attention and precautions are needed" - Mr. Khiem especially noted.

According to the meteorological agency, the forecast for the number of storms and tropical depressions this year is approximately the average of many years, the whole season ranges from 11 to 13 storms, tropical depressions operating in the East Sea, including about 5-6 storms directly affecting our mainland.

"We also do not rule out the possibility of strong and very strong storms (ie winds above level 12) appearing this year. Especially in the context of the impact of climate change, many adverse factors cause storm activities to increase more suddenly and frequently" - Mr. Khiem analyzed.

AN AN
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