Updated from the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, at 1:00 p.m. on November 25, the center of the tropical depression was at about 10.4 degrees north latitude; 121.3 degrees east longitude, in the western sea of the central Philippines. The strongest wind near the center of the tropical depression is level 7 (50-61km/h), gusting to level 9. The tropical depression is moving west-northwest at a speed of about 30km/h.
It is forecasted that in the next 24 hours, the tropical depression will move west-northwest at a speed of 20-25km/h and enter the East Sea, likely to strengthen into a storm. At 1:00 p.m. on November 26, the center of the storm was at about 12.2 degrees north latitude; 116.8 degrees east longitude, in the sea east of the central East Sea. The strongest wind near the storm center is level 9, gusting to level 11.
The danger zone in the next 24 hours is from latitude 10-14 degrees north; east of longitude 115.5 degrees east. The natural disaster risk level is level 3 for the eastern sea area of the central East Sea, including the northeastern sea area of Truong Sa.
It is forecasted that in the next 48 hours, the storm will continue to move west-northwest at a speed of 10-15km/h. At 1:00 p.m. on November 27, the center of the storm was at about 12.6 degrees north latitude; 114 degrees east longitude, in the central East Sea. The intensity is likely to increase, the strongest wind near the storm center is level 10, gusting to level 12.
The danger zone is from latitude 10.5-15 degrees north; east of longitude 112.5 degrees east. The natural disaster risk level is level 3 for the central East Sea area, including the northern sea area of Truong Sa province.
It is forecasted that in the next 72 hours, the storm will move slowly to the west, traveling 5-10km per hour and will continue to strengthen.
The meteorological agency forecasts that the strongest storm intensity in the northern area of Truong Sa special zone may reach level 10-11, gusting to level 13. Then move west towards the mainland of the Central provinces.
Currently, forecasts are still scattered, including the scenario of the storm entering the Gia Lai to Lam Dong area (the old Binh Dinh to Binh Thuan area). The impact time is around November 28 - 30. The intensity of the impact on the mainland could be a Category 8 storm, or a tropical depression. There is also a scenario where the storm will move north, or dissipate at sea with a probability of 35%.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting predicts that from around November 28 to November 30, in the area from Da Nang to Lam Dong, there is a possibility of a widespread heavy rain, focusing on coastal areas.
According to current analysis data, there is a high possibility of no extreme rain like the 16-21 rain.
Regarding the impact at sea, from the evening of November 25, the sea area east of the central East Sea will have winds gradually increasing to level 6-7; The area near the storm's eye will have strong winds of level 8-9, gusts of level 11, waves 4-6m high, very rough seas.
In the afternoon of November 26-28, the central East Sea area, including the northern sea area of Truong Sa special zone, is likely to be affected by strong winds of level 10-11, gusts of level 14, waves 7-9m high, and rough seas. Ship operating in the above-mentioned dangerous areas are likely to be affected by thunderstorms, whirlwinds, strong winds and large waves.
