According to Mr. Mai Van Khiem - Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, in the early morning of November 24, the low pressure area in the sea east of the Philippines strengthened into a tropical depression. At 8:00 a.m. on November 24, the center of the tropical depression was at about 9.5 degrees north latitude - 128.4 degrees east longitude. In the next 1-2 days, the tropical depression is forecast to move in a West-Northwest direction at a speed of about 20km/h.
"Around the night of November 25 and the morning of November 26, the tropical depression will enter the East Sea; on November 26, when it is about 1,000km from the South Central Coast, the tropical depression is likely to strengthen into a storm" - Mr. Khiem said.
If it strengthens into a storm - this will be the 15th storm of the year in the East Sea. The strongest intensity expected when passing through the northern area of Truong Sa commune may reach level 10, gusting to level 13. The storm will then move westward, towards the South Central Coast. The focus of influence is from the Gia Lai area to Lam Dong (the area from Binh Dinh to the old Binh Thuan). The main affected time is between November 28 and 30.
Mr. Khiem said that according to initial assessment of the impact on land, when entering coastal waters, the storm may reduce intensity due to the impact of cold air and low sea surface temperatures in the South Central Coast.
"The intensity of the impact on the mainland can be at level 8 - 9 storms or tropical depressions. It is expected that from November 28 to 30, the area from Da Nang to Lam Dong will likely experience widespread heavy rain, with the heaviest rain concentrated along the coastal strip" - Mr. Khiem added.
However, the representative of the meteorological agency emphasized that the specific impacts need to continue to be updated according to observation and forecast data in the next 1-2 days because the tropical depression has not yet entered the East Sea.
Previously, the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting predicted that from November 21 to December 20, there is a possibility of 1-2 storms/tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea and may affect the mainland of Vietnam.
According to the average data of many years, during the above period, there will be about 1.2 storms or tropical depressions in the East Sea, 0.4 of which will make landfall in Vietnam.
Provinces/cities from South Quang Tri to Da Nang, the east of Quang Ngai province to Dak Lak and Khanh Hoa during the forecast period are likely to experience widespread heavy rains concentrated in late November and early December.
The Central and Southern Plateau are likely to experience showers and thunderstorms, concentrated in late November 2025.
On a national scale, there is a continued possibility of dangerous weather phenomena such as thunderstorms, whirlwinds, lightning, hail and strong gusts of wind.
In the last months of the year, storms, tropical depressions and cold air can cause strong winds, large waves at sea and affect the activities of ships and boats. In particular, beware of heavy rain that can cause flooding, inundation in low-lying areas and landslides in mountainous areas.
In the context of climate change, weather and climate are becoming increasingly complex with many dangerous and extreme forms such as short-term heavy rain, flash floods, landslides, etc.
Therefore, it is recommended that authorities at all levels and people regularly update and integrate hydrometeorological forecast and warning information in short-term bulletins of 1-3 days, to promptly adjust production plans and appropriate response plans, especially appropriate reservoir operation plans, ensure the safety of works and downstream areas, along with ensuring safety for production and people's lives.
