Forecast of the number of storms and tropical depressions in the coming month and areas at risk of being affected

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According to the meteorological agency, it is forecast that in the next month, there is a possibility of about 2 storms/tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea.

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting has issued a noteworthy weather trend forecast for the next month (from July 21 to August 20).

Ông Nguyễn Đức Hòa cho biết, nền nhiệt trong các tháng tới cao hơn so với trung bình nhiều năm do tác động của El Nino.
Mr. Nguyen Duc Hoa said that the temperature in the coming months will be higher than the multi-year average due to the impact of El Nino.

Regarding the temperature trend, according to Mr. Nguyen Duc Hoa - Deputy Head of the Climate Forecasting Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, during the forecast period, the average temperature nationwide is generally 0.5 - 1 degree Celsius higher than the multi-year average, especially in the southern region, there are places 1.5 degrees Celsius higher than the multi-year average of the same period.

The midland and delta regions of the North, from Thanh Hoa to Da Nang and the eastern provinces from Quang Ngai to Dak Lak continue to have the possibility of many hot days. Especially the Central region, the number of hot days may still be higher than the average of many years in the same period. People need to be wary of intense heat, especially intense in some places.

Dự báo nhiệt độ trung bình, tổng lượng mưa từ 21.7-20.8 ở một số khu vực. Nguồn: Trung tâm Dự báo Khí tượng Thủy văn Quốc gia
Average temperature forecast, total rainfall from July 21 - August 20 at some monitoring stations. Source: National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting

Total rainfall in the period from July 21st to August 20th nationwide is generally approximately equal to the multi-year average; especially in the Northern region and Thanh Hoa to Ha Tinh, it is generally 5 - 15% higher than the multi-year average of the same period.

Widespread heavy rain will mainly concentrate in the Northern region and provinces from Thanh Hoa - Ha Tinh. The Central Highlands and Southern regions will experience showers and thunderstorms for many days, with rain and heavy rain during the day, and the rain will be concentrated in the afternoon and night" - Mr. Hoa said.

Regarding the sea weather trend, in the period from now until August 20, storms/tropical depressions will operate in the East Sea area and directly affect the mainland of Vietnam at a level equivalent to the multi-year average.

In which, storms/tropical depressions affecting Vietnam's mainland are mainly concentrated in the Northern and North Central regions. According to multi-year average data, in the above period, there were 2.1 tropical cyclones in the East Sea and 0.8 cyclones making landfall in Vietnam.

Previously, on the evening of July 2, the tropical depression strengthened into a storm and became the first storm of 2026 in the East Sea area - storm No. 1, internationally named Maysak. On the night of July 3, storm No. 1 entered the sea area east of the Northern Gulf area and then on the evening of July 4, entered Mong Cai area, Quang Ninh province with a strong intensity of level 8 - 9, gusts of level 12. At noon on July 5, storm No. 1 went deep inland in the southern area of Guangxi province (China) and then weakened into a tropical depression, then continued to move in the Northeast direction, gradually weakening into a low pressure area and gradually dissipating.

The monthly climate forecast bulletin is for trend forecasting. The meteorological agency recommends that in the context of climate change, weather, and climate are increasingly complicated with many dangerous and extreme forms.

Therefore, it is proposed that all levels of government and people regularly update and integrate forecast information and hydrometeorological warnings in 1-3-day short-term bulletins, to promptly adjust production plans and appropriate response plans to ensure safety for production and people's livelihoods.

AN AN
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