Storm forecast near the East Sea in late March and early April

Thanh Hà |

Storm forecasts show that there is almost no chance of storms forming near the East Sea in March and April.

The latest weather forecast from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) in Visayas, Philippines said that as the country moves into the hot season, temperatures are expected to increase, leading to warmer than normal weather conditions.

PAGASA Visayas weather expert Jhomer Esclarino said that the northeast monsoon ( (ating) is expected to weaken and dissipate next week, officially marking the entrance to summer, also the dry season in the Philippines.

With this change, the temperature index, including air temperature and humidity, in the region is expected to increase.

In March 2025, in the context of the existence of La Nina phenomenon, PAGASA Visayas recorded a maximum temperature of 40 degrees Celsius in the region. Temperatures are expected to rise further this month, with one in Cebu, Philippines, expected to reach 36 to 42 degrees Celsius in April and then increase to 37 to 44 degrees Celsius in May.

Last year, Cebu recorded its highest temperature of 43 degrees Celsius on May 17. Weather forecasts show that this year's temperatures will be similar, even slightly higher.

PAGASA forecasts that the Philippines is transitioning to a neutral phase of the El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) weather pattern, with a 60% probability of this change occurring between March and May, increasing to 70% between April and June.

That means neither El Nino nor La Nina will be around for this period. Despite no El Nino, PAGASA warned that above-average temperatures will continue in the Philippines due to the hot dry season.

Philippines ghi nhan trung binh 20 con bao moi nam. Anh: Xinhua
The Philippines records an average of 20 typhoons per year. Photo: Xinhua

In the latest news, the Philippine weather agency also stated that in March and April, the possibility of storms and tropical depressions will be zero.

PAGASA's latest typhoon forecast bulletin on March 19 said that during the week from March 19 to March 25, there is no possibility of any tropical depressions appearing in the PAGASA PMD forecast area. Similarly, during the week from March 26 to April 1, no low pressure is forecast to appear in the PMD forecast area. Thus, in the next 2 weeks, the area near the East Sea will not have the possibility of storms or tropical depressions.

Earlier this year, PAGASA forecasted that there would be 2-8 storms forming in the Philippine forecast area in the first half of 2025. At least one storm is expected each month from January to April. 1-2 storms are expected to appear near the East Sea in May and June.

However, January to May is considered a quiet period with typhoon activity in the western part of the northern Pacific basin, including the Philippines, PAGASA noted.

The official names of the typhoons in the 2025 typhoon season in the Philippines are Auring, Bising, Crising, Dante, Emong, Fabian, Gorio, Huaning, Isang, Jacinto, Kiko, Lannie, Mirasol, Nando, Opong, Paolo, Quedan, Ramil, Salome, Tino, Uwan, Verbena Wilma, Yasmin and Zoraida.

During the 2024 typhoon season, 17 typhoons near the East Sea have hit the Philippines, including 6 consecutive typhoons making landfall in Northern Luzon.

Thanh Hà
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