According to Fox Weather's latest storm news , computer forecast models point to a potential tropical depression next week in the Atlantic Ocean.
If this system moves over the mountains of Puerto Rico or the Dominican Republic, it will not be able to develop much. But if a depression forms over the Caribbean or very warm Atlantic waters north of the islands, it could strengthen into a hurricane.
On July 27, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) raised the possibility of a tropical depression in the Atlantic developing next week from 20% to 40%.
In the weather forecast at 8:00 p.m. on July 27 local time, the NHC said the low pressure could strengthen into a tropical depression next week, possibly midweek, as it approaches the Northern Caribbean and the Islands. Great Antilles and Leeward Islands.
According to FOX 35 meteorologist Laurel Blanchard, low pressure remains in an unfavorable environment for development until July 31.
However, from August 1, conditions in the tropics changed to become more favorable for potential storm development, including less Saharan dust, less intense wind shear and water surface temperatures. the sea is warmer.
Currently, there are still many uncertainties. There are three main questions that arise. Firstly, will this depression be organized enough to strengthen as it enters the Northern Caribbean and the Antilles Islands area?
Second, where can low pressure go? Could it impact the Caribbean Islands? Could it impact Florida (USA)?
If low pressure remains north of the islands into next weekend, development is slightly more likely. If it is above or south of the islands, it will likely dissipate quickly.
Third, another possible scenario - suggested by the latest global forecast model (GFS) - shows that the low pressure will strengthen into a storm, pass over the islands and then dissipate as it enters the gulf. .
Signs of low pressure appear when the 2024 hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean is relatively quiet since superstorm Beryl made landfall in Texas (USA) earlier this month.
From the beginning of the storm season until now, there have been 3 storms formed including storm Alberto, super storm Beryl and tropical storm Chris, forming from mid-June to early July.
The updated storm forecast for the 2024 storm season from Colorado State University, USA, predicts that this year's storm season will be intense with 25 named storms, including 12 hurricanes and 6 major storms.
If the latest depression develops into a tropical storm, it will be named Debby.
