According to the latest storm news from Fox Weather, computer forecast models point to a potential tropical depression next week in the Atlantic.
If the system moves through the mountains of Puerto Rico or the Dominican Republic, it wont be able to develop much. But if a depression forms over the Caribbean or a very warm Atlantic Ocean north of the islands, it could strengthen into a typhoon.
The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) on July 27 raised the likelihood of a tropical depression in the Atlantic developing next week from 20% to 40%.
In its weather forecast at 8:00 p.m. local time on July 27, the NHC said the depression could strengthen into a tropical depression next week, possibly in the middle of the week, as it approaches the North Caribbean, Great Antilles and Leeward Islands.
According to FOX 35 meteorologist Laurel Blanchard, the depression will remain in an unfavorable environment for development until July 31.
However, from August 1, tropical conditions have changed, becoming more favorable for potential development of the storm, including fewer Sahara dust, less severe wind shear and warmer sea surface temperatures.
Currently, there are still many uncertainties. There are three main questions. First, is this low pressure organized enough to strengthen when it enters the Northern Caribbean and the Antilles?
Second, where can the depression go? Can it affect the Caribbean Islands? Can it affect Florida (USA)?
If the depression remains in the north of the islands by the end of next week, the possibility of development will be slightly higher. If it were upstream or south of the islands, it would likely disappear rapidly.
Third, another possible scenario - proposed by the latest Global Forecast System (GFS) - shows that the depression will strengthen into a storm, pass through the islands and then dissipate as it moves into the bay.
Signs of a depression appear as the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is relatively quiet since Hurricane Beryl made landfall in Texas (USA) earlier this month.
Since the start of the season, there have been three storms, including Alberto, Hurricane Beryl and Tropical Storm Chris, which formed between mid-June and early July.
The updated storm forecast for the 2024 hurricane season from Colorado State University, USA, said that this year's storm season is fierce with 25 named storms, including 12 hurricanes and 6 major storms.
If the latest depression develops into a tropical storm, it will be named Debby.
