Forecast of the possibility of super typhoon formation in the coming time

Khánh Minh |

According to forecasters, high sea surface temperatures are still favorable for further storms to explode into super typhoons.

Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton - which devastated many areas in the southeastern United States - have opened a particularly busy tropical storm period.

The Atlantic hurricane season began in a worrying manner. On July 2, Hurricane Beryl became the earliest Category 5 super typhoon to form in the Atlantic Ocean according to records dating back to 20.

Unusually warm Atlantic temperatures combined with changes in regional weather patterns are seen as a favorable conduit for hurricane formation.

Across the main development zone of the storm - an area stretching from the west coast of Africa to the Caribbean - sea surface temperatures are about 1 degree Celsius above the 1991-2020 average, according to BBC analysis of data from the European Climate Agency.

Atlantic temperatures have been rising over the past decade, largely due to climate change and a natural weather pattern known as the Atlantic Multi-Decade Schwing.

Starting with Hurricane Helene, six Atlantic tropical storms have formed in quick succession.

fueled by warm waters and now more favorable atmospheric conditions these storms are intensifying, with five becoming hurricanes.

Four of these five storms have experienced so-called rapid intensification, with maximum sustained winds of at least 56 km/h in 24 hours.

Historical data shows that on average, only about 1 in 4 storms are intensifying rapidly.

Rapid intensification can be especially dangerous, as this rapid increase in wind power could give the community less time to prepare.

Hurricane Milton was stronger than 144 km/h in 24 hours and was one of the fastest-increasing storms ever recorded, according to BBC data analysis from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Scientists at the World Weather Attribution found that winds and rain from both Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton have worsened as a result of climate change.

"One thing that this hurricane season clearly illustrates is the impact of climate change that is present right now," second Garner from Rowan University in the US explained.

For the remainder of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season (which runs from June 1 to November 30), high sea surface temperatures remain favorable for further storms to become super typhoons.

There is also a chance of La Nina appearing in the Pacific Ocean - a weather pattern that often promotes Atlantic hurricane formation because it affects wind patterns.

But further storms will depend on other atmospheric conditions, which are less easy to predict.

In any case, this year's Atlantic hurricane season has highlighted the fact that warm ocean waters caused by climate change are increasing the likelihood of the strongest super typhoons and this is expected to continue as the world warms even more, according to Kevin Trenberth, a scholar at the US National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Khánh Minh
TIN LIÊN QUAN

Forecast of a new storm in the year of historic super typhoons

|

2024 has seen historic super typhoons around the world and a new typhoon is expected next week.

Forecast of the possibility of low pressure near the Philippines strengthening

|

According to the latest storm/low pressure forecast on October 13, low pressure Invest 91W is currently located east of Luzon Island, Philippines.

New low pressure appears near the Philippines

|

The latest storm and low pressure information from the US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) confirmed the existence of the low pressure near the Philippines.

The billiards community mourns Chang Jun-lin's sudden passing

|

The international billiards community was moved to commemorate player Chang Jung-lin, who recently passed away in Jakarta while participating in the 2025 PBC Indonesia tournament.

Super-small neighborhood in the heart of Ho Chi Minh City has a fire fighting system, people are still not assured

|

HCMC - Although the micro-neighborhood in the middle of HCMC has been installed with a fire fighting system by the locality, people are still worried about the risk of fire and explosion, so they open additional escape routes themselves.

Dead pigs dumped on the streets of Hanoi, Ministry of Agriculture and Environment speaks out

|

The Deputy Minister of Agriculture and Environment requested to resolutely prevent the situation of throwing dead pigs onto the road, causing the spread of the epidemic.

Top 10 localities with the most scores in 10 Math subjects, Hanoi leads

|

In the 2025 high school graduation exam, Hanoi is the leading locality in the country in terms of 10 points in Math.

Associate high school graduation exam scores: No 10 Literature scores

|

The Ministry of Education and Training has announced the scores for the 2025 high school graduation exam. Literature did not record a score of 10.

Forecast of a new storm in the year of historic super typhoons

Song Minh |

2024 has seen historic super typhoons around the world and a new typhoon is expected next week.

Forecast of the possibility of low pressure near the Philippines strengthening

Ngọc Vân |

According to the latest storm/low pressure forecast on October 13, low pressure Invest 91W is currently located east of Luzon Island, Philippines.

New low pressure appears near the Philippines

Thanh Hà |

The latest storm and low pressure information from the US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) confirmed the existence of the low pressure near the Philippines.