Forecast of the possibility of super typhoon formation in the coming time

Khánh Minh |

According to forecasters, high sea surface temperatures are still favorable for further storms to explode into super typhoons.

Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton - which devastated many areas in the southeastern United States - have opened a particularly busy tropical storm period.

The Atlantic hurricane season began in a worrying manner. On July 2, Hurricane Beryl became the earliest Category 5 super typhoon to form in the Atlantic Ocean according to records dating back to 20.

Unusually warm Atlantic temperatures combined with changes in regional weather patterns are seen as a favorable conduit for hurricane formation.

Across the main development zone of the storm - an area stretching from the west coast of Africa to the Caribbean - sea surface temperatures are about 1 degree Celsius above the 1991-2020 average, according to BBC analysis of data from the European Climate Agency.

Atlantic temperatures have been rising over the past decade, largely due to climate change and a natural weather pattern known as the Atlantic Multi-Decade Schwing.

Starting with Hurricane Helene, six Atlantic tropical storms have formed in quick succession.

fueled by warm waters and now more favorable atmospheric conditions these storms are intensifying, with five becoming hurricanes.

Four of these five storms have experienced so-called rapid intensification, with maximum sustained winds of at least 56 km/h in 24 hours.

Historical data shows that on average, only about 1 in 4 storms are intensifying rapidly.

Rapid intensification can be especially dangerous, as this rapid increase in wind power could give the community less time to prepare.

Hurricane Milton was stronger than 144 km/h in 24 hours and was one of the fastest-increasing storms ever recorded, according to BBC data analysis from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Scientists at the World Weather Attribution found that winds and rain from both Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton have worsened as a result of climate change.

"One thing that this hurricane season clearly illustrates is the impact of climate change that is present right now," second Garner from Rowan University in the US explained.

For the remainder of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season (which runs from June 1 to November 30), high sea surface temperatures remain favorable for further storms to become super typhoons.

There is also a chance of La Nina appearing in the Pacific Ocean - a weather pattern that often promotes Atlantic hurricane formation because it affects wind patterns.

But further storms will depend on other atmospheric conditions, which are less easy to predict.

In any case, this year's Atlantic hurricane season has highlighted the fact that warm ocean waters caused by climate change are increasing the likelihood of the strongest super typhoons and this is expected to continue as the world warms even more, according to Kevin Trenberth, a scholar at the US National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Khánh Minh
RELATED NEWS

Forecast of a new storm in the year of historic super typhoons

|

2024 has seen historic super typhoons around the world and a new typhoon is expected next week.

Forecast of the possibility of low pressure near the Philippines strengthening

|

According to the latest storm/low pressure forecast on October 13, low pressure Invest 91W is currently located east of Luzon Island, Philippines.

New low pressure appears near the Philippines

|

The latest storm and low pressure information from the US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) confirmed the existence of the low pressure near the Philippines.

Water rises rapidly at night, many houses along Ba Thon canal in Ho Chi Minh City are flooded

|

HCMC - On the evening of November 10, the water level of Ba Thon canal, An Phu Dong ward suddenly rose rapidly, overflowing into many houses along TL37 road, causing local flooding.

Landslides threaten residential areas, many households have to evacuate urgently

|

Thai Nguyen - Prolonged heavy rain caused tens of thousands of cubic meters of soil and rock to slide down to the residential area of Cho Ra commune, forcing the authorities to urgently evacuate 5 households.

Delegate Nguyen Thien Nhan: Support 9-13 million VND is only equal to 1-1.5% of the cost of raising a child

|

Delegate Nguyen Thien Nhan said that the support level of 9 - 13 million VND is only equal to 1-1.5% of the cost of raising a child, not enough to firmly maintain the replacement fertility rate.

"Doctor" ChatGPT suggests, prescription drugs are easy to buy

|

Many people prescribe themselves or ask ChatGPT to prescribe, while pharmacies freely sell prescription drugs without needing to prescribe a doctor. This poses a potential risk to public health.

Thailand suspends peace agreement with Cambodia, temporarily suspends return of prisoners

|

On November 10, the Thai Prime Minister issued an order to immediately suspend the peace agreement with Cambodia and stop the return of prisoners.

Forecast of a new storm in the year of historic super typhoons

Song Minh |

2024 has seen historic super typhoons around the world and a new typhoon is expected next week.

Forecast of the possibility of low pressure near the Philippines strengthening

Ngọc Vân |

According to the latest storm/low pressure forecast on October 13, low pressure Invest 91W is currently located east of Luzon Island, Philippines.

New low pressure appears near the Philippines

Thanh Hà |

The latest storm and low pressure information from the US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) confirmed the existence of the low pressure near the Philippines.