In the storm forecast bulletin at 5:00 p.m. on September 29, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that the center of Typhoon Julian was at about 19.5 degrees north latitude, 123.7 degrees east longitude, about 235km east of Calayan, Cagayan.
Maximum winds near the center of the storm are 120 km/h (level 12), gusting to 150 km/h (level 14). The storm is moving westward at 15 km/h.
Julian is expected to intensify over the next 24 to 36 hours as it approaches the Batanes-Babuyan Islands.
PAGASA does not rule out the possibility of Julian becoming a super typhoon with gusts of level 17 around October 1 as it approaches 120 degrees east longitude.
Julian is expected to move mainly west-northwest to northwest, towards the Batanes-Babuyan Islands from September 30 to the morning of October 1; then north to east-northeast across the waters east of Taiwan (China) starting from the afternoon of October 1.
Julian is forecast to make landfall in the Batanes and/or Babuyan Islands on September 30, or pass very close to these areas.
On September 29, PAGASA issued Signal No. 3 warning of strong winds of 89 - 117 km/h northeast of Babuyan Islands. The highest storm wind signal caused by Julian may be Signal No. 4.
PAGASA's weather bulletin also issued a forecast of heavy rainfall due to Typhoon Julian from the afternoon of September 29 to the afternoon of September 30. Accordingly, heavy to very heavy rain is forecast over 200 mm in Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte; 100 - 200 mm in mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Sur, Abra; 50 - 100 mm in Apayao, La Union, Mountain Province, Benguet
In the next 24 hours, rough seas will continue in Batanes (waves up to 9 meters high) and the coastal areas of Babuyan Islands (waves up to 7 meters high). PAGASA said travel is hazardous for most types of vessels.
Julian, the 10th tropical storm to hit the Philippines in 2024 and the sixth tropical storm in September alone, could leave the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) on October 3. The storm is unlikely to enter the East Sea and will head towards Taiwan (China).
Another tropical storm that PAGASA is monitoring is Typhoon Jebi, which is not expected to enter the PAR.
