In the storm forecast at 5 p.m. on September 29, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said the center of storm Julian was at about 19.5 degrees north latitude, 123.7 degrees east longitude, about 235km east of Calayan, Cagayan.
The strongest wind near the storm center is 120 km/h (level 12), gusting to 150 km/h (level 14). The storm is moving west at 15 km per hour.
Julian is expected to strengthen further in the next 24 to 36 hours as it heads toward the Batanes-Babuyan Islands area.
PAGASA does not rule out the possibility of Julian becoming a super typhoon with wind gusts of level 17 around October 1 when it approaches 120 degrees east longitude.
Julian is expected to move mainly west-northwest to northwest, toward the Batanes-Babuyan Islands area from September 30 to the morning of October 1; then north to east-northeast through waters east of Taiwan (China) starting from the afternoon of October 1.
Forecasts show that on September 30, Julian is very likely to make landfall in the Batanes and/or Babuyan Islands, or pass very close to these areas.
On September 29, PAGASA issued Signal No. 3 warning of strong winds of 89-117 km/h northeast of Babuyan Islands. The highest possible wind signal from Julian is Signal No. 4.
PAGASA's weather forecast also announced heavy rainfall forecast due to Typhoon Julian from the afternoon of September 29 to the afternoon of September 30. Accordingly, heavy to very heavy rainfall forecast of over 200 mm is expected in Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte; 100 - 200 mm in mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Sur, Abra; 50 - 100 mm in Apayao, La Union, Mountain Province, Benguet
Rough seas will continue in Batanes (waves up to 9 meters) and Babuyan Islands (waves up to 7 meters) in the next 24 hours. PAGASA said navigation is hazardous for most types of vessels.
Julian, the 10th tropical storm to hit the Philippines in 2024 and the sixth tropical storm in September alone, is expected to leave the Philippine forecast area (PAR) on October 3. The storm is unlikely to enter the South China Sea and will head towards Taiwan.
Another tropical storm that PAGASA is also monitoring is Typhoon Jebi, which is not expected to enter PAR.
