The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party received a record 28% support in INSA's latest weekly opinion poll released last weekend, thereby widening the lead over the conservative coalition to 4 percentage points.
This result marks the highest level ever recorded by INSA for AfD, and also increased by 1 percentage point compared to last week.
The conservative CDU of Chancellor Friedrich Merz remained at 24% compared to last week, while the Green Party decreased by 1 point to 12%. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) remained stable at 14%, while the Left Party remained at 11%.
Because 11% of the votes fall into parties that do not exceed the threshold to enter Parliament, these votes will not be counted in the seat distribution. Therefore, in the remaining votes for eligible parties to enter Parliament, a coalition wanting to win a majority in power will need at least about 45% of the total popular vote.
According to the results of this survey, if other parties continue to rule out the possibility of cooperation with the AfD, possible ruling alliances will be limited to tripartite alliances.
In which, the alliance between the CDU/CSU conservative bloc, SPD and the Green Party will reach 50% while the alliance between the CDU/CSU conservative bloc, SPD and the Left Party will reach 49%.
INSA surveyed 1,203 people in the period from April 20 to April 24 and asked respondents how they would vote if the federal election was held on April 26.
