Domestic coffee prices
At the end of last week (8.16), domestic green coffee bean prices increased sharply to an average of VND 117,300/kg, VND 2,500/kg higher than the previous session. In Dak Lak and Gia Lai, prices reached 117,300 - 117,200 VND/kg; Lam Dong 116,800 VND/kg; the old Dak Nong (now merged into Lam Dong) held the highest level at 117,500 VND/kg.
Compared to the beginning of 2025 (recorded at about 119,000 - 119,800 VND/kg), coffee prices are currently only about 2,300 - 2,500 VND/kg lower. Notably, since the beginning of August, domestic coffee has increased by nearly VND18,000/kg, significantly narrowing the gap compared to the peak at the beginning of the year.
World coffee prices
Arabica coffee closed the sixth trading session in September with an increase of +15.15 (+4.64%) and Robusta ICE coffee closed in September with an increase of +117 (+2.86%).
Coffee prices on Friday continued their strong increase this week, driven by technical buying and short-term profit-taking, with breakouts to new highs in 2 months.
Arabica coffee this week increased by a total of +10.4% and Robusta coffee increased by a total of +18%. Basic positive factors include the frost early last week in Brazil, reduced coffee exports from Brazil and reduced ICE inventories.
Mr. Richard Volpe - former USDA economist, currently a professor at Cal Poly University (USA) - commented that world coffee prices are at a two-month high. According to him, this increase is likely to last for the next 3-5 months due to continued escalation of production and operation costs.
Mr. Volpe noted that the Producer Price Index (PPI) reflects that wholesale coffee prices are increasing more strongly than retail prices, signaling that the biggest increases have not yet appeared. In addition, imposing tariffs on steel and aluminum may increase packaging costs, coffee processing and storage equipment, putting more pressure on supply chains and commodity prices.
