Domestic coffee prices today
The domestic coffee market in this morning session on May 5, 2026 recorded a deep downward correction, erasing the fragile recovery efforts of previous days.
Specifically, the average purchase price for the entire Central Highlands region has retreated to the threshold of 85,600 VND per kg, down 900 VND compared to the most recent data recorded on May 3, 2026.
In key localities, Dak Nong province (old) currently maintains the highest purchasing price in the region at 85,700 VND per kg, a sharp decrease compared to the 86,600 VND mark recorded last weekend.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai provinces both listed prices at 85,600 VND per kg, while in the Lam Dong area, coffee prices recorded a decrease of up to 1,000 VND to reach 85,000 VND per kg.
World coffee prices
Developments in the international market in the nearest closing session showed clear differentiation due to the impact of the holiday in the UK market.
Arabica coffee prices on the New York exchange for July 2026 delivery fell 0.90 cents, equivalent to a decrease of 0.31%, closing at 294.90 cents per pound.
The market initially tried to maintain green thanks to concerns about the Hoarmuz Strait being closed due to geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran increasing transportation, fertilizer and insurance costs, but the strength of the recovering USD at the end of the session submerged this upward momentum.
Meanwhile, the London exchange did not record transactions for Robusta coffee due to the UK market temporarily closing for International Labor Day holiday. Although Arabica inventory reports at the ICE exchange fell to the lowest level in more than 2 months with 494,508 bags, combined with a significant decrease in green coffee exports from Brazil in March, that much was still not enough to help Arabica prices stand firm against macroeconomic pressure.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
According to analysts, coffee prices are under heavy pressure from the prospect of abundant supply in the long term despite short-term technical tightening.
The Coffee Transaction Institute has just issued a challenging forecast, saying that Brazil's 2026-2027 crop output will increase sharply by 12% compared to the previous year, reaching 71.4 million bags.
Even, Marex Group Plc gave a higher figure of 75.9 million bags, while StoneX forecast that the global coffee surplus in 2026 could expand to 10 million bags, marking the largest surplus in the past 6 years.
In Vietnam, data from the Statistics Office shows that coffee exports in the first 4 months of 2026 increased by 15.8% compared to the same period last year, reaching 810,000 tons, which continues to put downward pressure on the Robusta line.
