Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market maintained its excitement from the last trading session of the week. Key localities in the Central Highlands region recorded a simultaneous increase, helping the average price level of the whole region reach 96,600 VND/kg. This is the highest price area in more than 2 weeks, bringing great joy to farmers.
Detailed purchase prices in regions:
Dak Nong (old): Recorded the highest price in the region at 96,700 VND/kg after increasing by 700 VND.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai: Simultaneously increased by 500 VND, currently purchasing at 96,500 VND/kg.
Lam Dong: Sharply increased by 800 VND, pushing the transaction price to 96,300 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
The closing session of the week witnessed green color covering both exchanges as geopolitical factors and export data strongly supported prices.
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): May 2026 futures increased by an additional 21 USD (0.56%), closing at 3,772 USD/ton, the highest level in the past 2.5 weeks. In addition to concerns about the closure of the Strait of Hormuz increasing transportation and insurance costs, Robusta prices were also supported by Brazil's February export report falling sharply by 17.4% compared to the same period.
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): May 2026 futures surged 4.50 cents (1.56%), reaching 293.30 cents/lb, the highest in 3 weeks. The upward momentum was reinforced by information that Colombia's January output fell 34%, despite the fact that inventories on the ICE exchange continued to recover to a 5-month high (540.867 sacks).
Market opinion
Although experiencing an impressive recovery momentum, the market is still under potential pressure from long-term supply. Rabobank forecasts global output to reach a record 180 million sacks in the 2026/27 crop year. In Brazil, rainfall in the Minas Gerais region reaching 131% of the historical average is promising a bumper crop. For Vietnam, although exports in the first 2 months of 2026 increased by 14% to 360,000 tons, sea transport bottlenecks are becoming key factors supporting prices in the short term.
Forecast for next week, coffee prices will continue to be in a positive state of fluctuation around the 96,000 - 98,000 VND/kg range. Geopolitical conflict is still an "unknown" that could push prices up further if the transport disruption situation lasts.
