Have you also ever been in such a state? It feels like it happens so often that you think there is some spirituality? In fact, things like that are related to how the brain works. It is programmed to pay attention and store information about the visible part, ignoring the hidden part. Therefore, we only evaluate, learn from experience or draw conclusions based on entities that have "overcome a filter to survive", while truly important information often lies in things that have disappeared.
From the example of the story mentioned above, it is easy to understand this, they have forgotten many other times they still see both pairs of socks, forgotten many other times they wash cars without rain, forgotten many times they look at the clock at other times. Or as we often say "beauty has a bad fate", they are usually just celebrities, and ordinary lives when encountering misfortune are rarely recounted.
Those are just funny things, but there are many other things in the so-called "Survivor Prejudice". The term appeared from World War II, when mathematician Abraham Wald was assigned the task of finding ways to reinforce the armor of fighter jets. Data collected from aircraft returning from the battle showed that bullet holes were most concentrated in the wings and tail.
But Wald declared that it was necessary to reinforce the engine and cockpit - places without bullet holes. Because the aircraft hit by bullets in the engine had fallen out of the sea and could not return to be in the statistical sample set.
Decisions made based only on the surface easily prevent people from finding a solution to the problem. It involves thinking a lot, to ask the question "What are the things I'm not seeing?". Everything differs in the ability to see the hidden part.
When you see the submerged part of the iceberg, you will be less delusional, less individualistic, and most importantly, do not establish a strategy based on the luck of "survivors".
