Land plot prices increase sharply, forecast market explosion of supply in 2026

Nam Phong |

Land plot prices continue to increase in 2025, demand improves significantly and new supply is forecast to recover strongly in 2026.

According to the Housing Real Estate Market Report in Ho Chi Minh City and surrounding areas in 2025 (adjacent research areas include Dong Nai, Tay Ninh) just announced by DKRA Group, the land plot segment in 2025 recorded primary supply increasing by 2% compared to 2024 but still at a low level compared to the period before 2022. In total primary supply, projects that were previously opened for sale accounted for 87%.

New supply still maintains a scarcity situation and does not have much fluctuation compared to 2024. Accordingly, the number of products accounts for only about 13% of the total primary supply.

Regarding demand, DKRA Group said that the market has improved with consumption increasing by about 69% compared to the previous year. However, transactions are mainly focused on projects that have completed infrastructure, legal aspects and are implemented by investors with financial capacity.

Tay Ninh plays a leading role in new supply when the proportion of supply and consumption reached 38% and 53% respectively. Compared to the same period in 2024, the primary price level increased by an average of 6%, while the secondary price level increased commonly by 12-15%.

DKRA Consulting forecasts that in 2026, the new supply of the land plot segment will recover positively thanks to the explosion of large-scale urban area projects, ranging from about 3,500-4,000 plots. Thanks to the advantage of large land funds, room for price increases and convenient regional connectivity infrastructure, Long An (old), Binh Duong (old)... continue to play a key role in the market's supply.

Regarding demand in 2026, a representative of DKRA Consulting said that the recovery momentum is forecast to continue, but is still selective, mainly concentrated in some localities and product groups that complete infrastructure, legal as well as have favorable conditions for trade and regional connection.

Regarding the price trend of this segment, Ms. Pham Thi Mien - Deputy Director of the Vietnam Real Estate Market Assessment Research Institute (VARS IRE) said that newly offered land plot prices at many projects recorded an increase of up to 20%. According to her, the main reason is prolonged supply scarcity while investment and asset accumulation demand is still maintained at a high level.

In the secondary market, land plot prices increased by 20-100% in some areas with low-priced plots. The floor price of low-rise houses also increased by about 20% compared to the same period last year. Transactions are mainly concentrated in projects with prices in the range of 100-200 million VND/m2, located in urban areas that have been formed, have residents living and synchronous infrastructure and amenities.

Nationwide, the Ministry of Construction said that in 2025 there were about 579.718 successful real estate transactions, an increase of about 7.7% compared to 2024. In which, the number of transactions of apartments and detached houses reached 138,025 successful transactions, an increase of about 10%. The number of land plot transactions reached 441,693 successful transactions, an increase of about 7% compared to 2024.

According to the Ministry of Construction, land plot prices developed according to projects on the secondary market in localities in general still tend to increase. The increase is concentrated in areas with synchronous connectivity infrastructure, central location and clear planning information. In 2025, land plot prices increased by 20-25% compared to 2024.

Nam Phong
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