Overview
Paris St-Germain will face Bayern Munich in Atlanta in the FIFA Club World Cup quarter-finals.
Champions League champions PSG defeated Inter Miami 4-0 in the round of 16. However, they will face a much more difficult challenge in the quarter-finals.
Both PSG and Bayern could be wrong to lose a match in this year's tournament. In the group stage, PSG lost 0-1 to Botafogo, while Bayern were defeated by Benfica with the same score.
PSG's failure is the only blemish on their recent record. They have won 8 of their last 9 matches in all competitions, conceding only 4 goals. Botafogo's goal was the only goal they conceded in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup campaign.
Bayern looked less secure in defence as their only clean sheet at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup was a 10-0 win over Auckland City. They have conceded 4 goals in the last 3 matches, including 2 goals in the victory over Flamengo.
However, the "Gray Tigers" have won their last 4 matches against PSG, all of which have come since 2021 in the Champions League. The team that has won the last 5 consecutive matches against PSG is Rennes, doing so between 2007 and 2009 in Ligue 1 (a streak of 6 wins).
Their last meeting - a 1-0 win for Bayern in November 2024 - was the only match under Luis Enrique in which PSG lost and held the ball less than their opponents (42.9%).
PSG have also lost half of their games against German sides under Enrique (3/6 - 2 losses to Dortmund and one loss to Bayern). However, PSG has improved a lot recently, especially in defense.
The weather is expected to be very hot in Atlanta as the match begins at midday local time. However, it would be no surprise if the two teams still created a tense match.
In the group stage of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, PSG (6.7) and Bayern (7) are the two teams with the lowest average PPDA (the number of passes from the opponent in a defensive situation of the home team). These are also the two teams that create the most intense pressure in the final third (366 of PSG, 337 of Bayern).
Predicting the result
PSG are considered the team likely to continue in this match with a win rate of 45.6%. However, Bayern also have a 43.3% chance of beating their opponents.
Score prediction: PSG 2-1 Bayern Munich
The match between PSG and Bayern Munich takes place at 23:00 on July 5 (Vietnam time).
