World coffee prices
On the London Stock Exchange, Robusta coffee futures for September remained at 3,228 USD/ton, unchanged from the previous session; other terms also stood around 3,128 - 3,196 USD/ton. Meanwhile, on the New York Stock Exchange, Arabica futures for September reached 297.55 cents/lb, unchanged from the previous session's closing price.
Domestic coffee prices
At noon on July 28, the price of green coffee beans in the Central Highlands provinces was traded between 96,000 - 96,500 VND/kg, an increase of 900 - 1,000 VND/kg compared to the end of last week.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai reached 96,300 - 96,500 VND/kg, while Lam Dong kept at 96,000 VND/kg. However, if compared to the peak in mid-April 2025 when domestic prices reached 131,300 - 132,200 VND/kg, the current level is still about 35,000 VND/kg lower.
Domestic coffee prices continued to recover after a sharp decline in mid-July. According to data from the Customs Department, in the first half of July, coffee exports increased by 2.27 billion USD, equivalent to an increase of 66.5% over the same period in 2024.
Season forecast and price prospects
A survey conducted by Artis Trading in collaboration with the Coffee Trading Academy in growing areas shows that Vietnam's coffee output is expected to increase by 7% in the 2025-2026 crop year, starting from October. Of which, Robusta output is forecast to increase by 6.5% and arabica increases by 23%. Experts said that farmers have increased fertilization, irrigation, pruning and replacement of old trees, while the weather is favorable with abundant rainfall contributing to productivity.
Previously, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasted that Vietnam's coffee output will increase from 29 million bags in the 2024-2025 crop year to 31 million bags in the 2025-2026 crop year, of which about 30 million bags are robusta. Vietnam is still the world's largest robusta importer.
According to BMI (under Fitch Solutions), favorable weather has strengthened expectations for a larger crop, with the forecast for the 2025-2026 crop increasing by 5.2% over the same period. However, BMI also noted that the price outlook is being affected by the possibility of the US imposing a 50% import tax on Brazilian coffee beans from August 1, while adjusting the average price forecast for 2025 from 3.4 USD/pound to 3.0 USD/pound.
In Brazil, Safras & Mercado said that as of July 23, the 2025-2026 coffee harvest had reached 84% of the area, faster than the same period last year (81%) and the 5-year average (77%). Of which, the robusta crop is almost completed at 96%, while the arabica crop is at 76%.
Note: Coffee prices are for reference only, depending on each dealer and region.
