Stock market seeks balance when VN-Index adjusts

Lục Giang |

VN-Index adjusts, market is strongly differentiated. However, analysts assess that the market still has many bright spots and positive prospects in the long term.

Closing the trading session on April 6, VN-Index stopped at 1,674 points, down 9.05 points, equivalent to a decrease of 0.54%. Total trading volume decreased by 13.5% compared to the previous session, reaching 667 million shares. Liquidity continued to maintain below the 20-day average, equivalent to 17,891 billion VND.

The trading session recorded 238 decliners, 76 gainers and 55 reference codes. Among them, many industry groups decreased, negatively impacting the index such as oil and gas with BSR, PLX, PVD codes; chemicals with DGC, DDV, DCM; retail with MWG, PNJ, FRT.

In the opposite direction, LPB, VIC, VCB, BID, VNM, HPG belong to the group of stocks that contributed the most positively to the index, contributing to helping VN-Index not fall too deeply.

Foreign investors continued to net sell 114 billion VND on the HSX exchange, focusing on TCB, MBB, HDB codes, while net buying VIC, GEX, VNM.

According to Ms. Tran Ngoc Thuy Vy - Analyst at Mirae Asset Securities Joint Stock Company (Vietnam), the market's decline accompanied by reduced liquidity caused the short-term technical ratings to decrease from level 4 (positive) to level 0 (neutral).

Regarding the group of positive stocks, Ms. Vy predicts that strong price stocks such as VIC, LPB, HDB, MBS, GVR may perform more positively than VN-Index in the next 1-2 weeks.

Meanwhile, SHS Securities believes that the stock market in April 2026 will start with a recovery momentum from the end of March with the recovery of residential real estate stocks when some stocks such as NVL, TCH increased sharply from the bottom. However, the recovery mainly takes place in some individual stocks, not evenly across the entire market and current investment strategies are mostly low-performance.

However, the market is currently facing many challenges when deposit interest rates and deposit certificates have reached 9%–10%/year and long-term real estate loan interest rates have reached levels of 14%–15%/year. This puts pressure on investors in both the stock market and the real estate market.

SHS recommends that investors should continue to maintain a high cash ratio in their portfolios, only investing short-term with a ratio of about 20%–30% of net assets within risk control, waiting for a better market in the future.

The SHS analysis group believes that VN-Index may fluctuate in a narrow range with a support zone around 1,600 points and a resistance zone around 1,750 points in the near future, in the context that many risk factors and uncertainties still dominate the financial market.

From a long-term perspective, SSI Securities believes that the Vietnamese stock market in 2026 still has opportunities in fluctuation. SSI believes that the story of market upgrades continues to be an important factor. Vietnam is on track to be upgraded by FTSE to emerging markets in 2026 and may start receiving capital flows from passive funds from September 2026. This capital flow is likely to be allocated in several phases to reduce market disruption.

On April 7, 2026, FTSE Russell will announce the mid-term review results for March 2026 for the Vietnamese market. This is considered an important step to determine the progress of upgrading to the secondary emerging market, expected to take effect from September 2026. Especially related to improving the accessibility of global brokerage companies.

Lục Giang
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