A low pressure area is active in the East Sea and information on the forecast of the development of this situation is of interest to the people. Mr. Nguyen Van Huong - Head of Weather Forecast Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting provided the latest comments on this low pressure area.
Can you tell us the latest forecast information about the new low pressure area appearing in the East Sea?
- This morning (September 9), a low pressure area has formed in the North East Sea. The location at 7:00 a.m. of this low pressure area was at about 17 - 18 degrees north latitude and 117.2 - 118.2 degrees east longitude. This low pressure area is located on a low pressure trough with an axis of about 15 - 18 degrees north latitude and is currently moving slowly westward.
It is forecasted that in the next 24 hours, the low pressure area has a probability of 80 - 90% strengthening into a tropical depression. In the next 48 - 72 hours (ie from June 12 to June 13), this tropical depression is likely to continue to strengthen into a storm, with a probability of about 60 - 70%.
So if the low pressure area strengthens into a tropical depression and then becomes a storm, which area will it affect, sir?
- Currently, the low pressure area is still in the formation stage and has not developed into a tropical depression. The dominating atmospheric systems such as the southwest monsoon, subtropical high pressure... are still fluctuating and unstable, causing the trajectory and development intensity of this system to be uncertain.
Based on current forecast models, tropical depressions and storms (if formed) are likely to affect the northern part of the East Sea, including the waters of the Hoang Sa archipelago, and even some eastern and central areas of the Gulf of Tonkin in bad situations. However, the actual development depends on the next development process in the next 1-2 days.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting is closely monitoring and will promptly update in the next bulletins to serve the direction and response of all levels and sectors.
So in the short term, do you have any special warnings about dangerous weather developments at sea?
- During the day and night of June 9, many coastal areas will have dangerous weather. The North East Sea area (including the Hoang Sa archipelago), the central and southern East Sea area (including the Truong Sa archipelago), the sea area from Binh Dinh to Ca Mau, Ca Mau to Kien Giang and the Gulf of Thailand will have showers and thunderstorms. During thunderstorms, there is a possibility of tornadoes, strong gusts of wind of level 6 - 7, waves over 2m high.
The sea area from Ninh Thuan to Ca Mau, the central and southern East Sea will have strong southwest winds of level 5, sometimes level 6, gusting to level 7 - 8, rough seas, waves 1.5 - 3m high.
All ships operating in the above areas need to pay special attention to the high risk of tornadoes, strong gusts of wind and big waves. The risk level of natural disasters due to strong winds at sea is level 2.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting recommends that authorities, people and forces operating at sea regularly monitor updates, proactively take preventive measures and respond promptly to any possible situations.
Sincerely thank you!
