Historic tropical depression may appear in the middle of winter

Lam Anh |

For the first time since 1850, the Eastern Pacific is facing the possibility of a low pressure area in January.

According to the latest report from the FOX Forecasting Center, meteorologists are focusing on monitoring an "extremely rare" weather dien bien in the Eastern Pacific region.

According to the latest weather reports, a disturbance zone is showing signs of reorganization and may develop into a tropical depression early next week. Although this system is forecast to only stop at the level of a tropical depression and not threatening the mainland, its existence is considered a historical event.

To understand the rarity of this phenomenon, it is necessary to look back at data stored from 1850. In the past 176 years, no tropical cyclone has been recorded in this basin in January. According to natural law, this is the time when the tropics "sleep in winter" with low sea temperatures and unfavorable atmospheric conditions.

The earliest record of formation previously belonged to the One-E tropical depression, but it was not until late April 2020 that it appeared. The fact that a tropical weather system sprouted up in the middle of winter is unprecedented.

Explaining this phenomenon, meteorologists point out the convergence of many unusual factors. A large-scale high pressure range covering the West Coast of the United States has unintentionally created a low level of wind cuts in the Eastern Pacific.

The US National Weather Service (NWS) believes that the combination of low wind cuts, warm sea surface temperatures and high humidity is the direct cause of this phenomenon.

It is expected that a low pressure area will form in the period from January 17-18 in the southwestern Baja California peninsula. Although the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) has not issued an official warning, this development is being closely monitored due to its rare off-season nature.

The appearance of this low pressure area continues a series of unusual climate developments recorded since 2025. Specifically, the recent storm season in the Eastern Pacific recorded 18 named storms, including 10 typhoons and 3 super typhoons.

In the Atlantic region, super typhoon Melissa (level 5) also caused heavy damage to Jamaica at the end of the 2025 hurricane season.

Notably, statistics show that 2025 is the first year since 2015 that no storms have made direct landfall in the US, reflecting the unpredictable changes in the global weather situation entering 2026.

Lam Anh
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